965
FXUS64 KSJT 071815
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
115 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW CHANCES (20%) FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF
THE AREA. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK SOUTH, THEN STALL
ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURE
IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH HIGHS ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY A
FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT WE EXPERIENCED YESTERDAY. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
ON WEDNESDAY, THE AFOREMENTIONED REMNANT WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BE
LOCATED ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT,
ALTHOUGH MOST AREAS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN DRY. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS, IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST/NORTHEAST BEHIND TUESDAY'S FRONT.
LOW RAIN CHANCES (<30%) WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR
AREA, NEAR THE I-10 CORRIDOR. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NEAR
THIS AREA ON WEDNESDAY, PROVIDING WEAK SURFACE CONVERGENCE FOR THE
POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS QUITE A
BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN HOW MUCH THE FRONT WILL EFFECT THE HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY, WITH SOME MODELS KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S
AND OTHERS INCREASING THEM TO NEAR 90. RIGHT NOW, WE HAVE HIGHS IN
THE MIDDLE OF THESE SOLUTIONS, BUT WE MAY NEED TO ADJUST HIGHS AS WE
GET CLOSER. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER-
WISE AS THE UPPER HIGH BUILDS BACK OVER THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES
REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY WARM INTO SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1136 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A WEAK COLD
FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE CURRENT TAFS. EXPECT
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS TO GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 10 KNOTS THROUGH
THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 63 87 65 89 / 10 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 63 87 63 88 / 10 10 0 0
JUNCTION 63 88 63 89 / 10 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 63 88 63 88 / 10 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 63 86 64 88 / 10 10 0 0
OZONA 64 85 64 87 / 10 20 0 0
BRADY 64 87 65 86 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...DANIELS
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