105
FXUS64 KSJT 082302
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
602 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE TODAY IN
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL HIGH WILL SHIFT WESTWARD SLIGHT BY TONIGHT, WITH
CONTINUED BENIGN WEATHER FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT
AND INTO THURSDAY. HOWEVER, A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. EXPECT WINDS FROM THE
NORTHEAST TO EAST TODAY AT 5-15 MPH, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AGAIN OVERNIGHT, UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. HIGHS ON THURSDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 112 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE THAT HAS RESULTED IN WARM WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN IT'S GRIP ON WEST TEXAS THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH THERE WAS A PASSAGE OF A SURFACE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THIS WEEK, SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL QUICKLY SET UP
STARTING FRIDAY. THIS WILL PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW 90S
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
IS 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR BUT IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR RECORD FOR THIS WEEKEND. FOR REFERENCE,
RECORDS FOR THE 10TH-12TH ARE AROUND 100, LAST SET IN 2020. BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK, HOWEVER, HIGHS COULD BE "NEAR-RECORD" WITH HIGHS
IN THE LOW TO MID 90S (THE RECORD FOR ABILENE ON OCT 14TH IS 94).
A DRIER AIRMASS WILL ALSO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY WITH
DEWPOINTS DROPPING TO THE UPPER 40S AND LOW 50S ON SATURDAY. GIVEN
THE STOUT RIDGE AND DRIER AIRMASS IN PLACE, RAIN CHANCES WILL
REMAIN NEXT TO NOTHING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL BE
GENERALLY OUT OF THE EAST AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS, OUTSIDE OF A FEW
GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS FROM SCATTERED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THIS
EVENING. HOWEVER, WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING IN THE AREA, THESE
WINDS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 65 90 63 90 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 62 88 60 89 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 61 89 59 90 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 63 89 59 89 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 64 89 63 90 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 62 88 61 88 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 64 87 60 87 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...20
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