469
FXUS64 KSJT 092252
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
552 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS OVER WEST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST TOMORROW. GIVEN THE WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS, LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE
IN THE LOW 60S. SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS MAY START OFF THE MORNING
BUT OTHERWISE, MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL BE ON TAP FOR TOMORROW. JUST
LIKE THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS, HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER
80S TO AROUND 90 AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 104 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
THE LONG TERM WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER-WISE AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE SITS OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL, WITH HIGHS PEAKING ON SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL
FORM OFF THE ROCKIES TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY WITH A LOWER LEVEL JET
FORMING AHEAD OF IT. WE'LL BE ON THE TAIL END OF THE HIGHER WIND
SPEEDS, BUT THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME HIGHER GUSTS MIXING
DOWN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. RIGHT NOW, THE NBM IS ON THE LOWER SIDE OF
THE MODEL GUIDANCE, SO WE MAY NEED TO INCREASE WIND SPEEDS AS WE GET
CLOSER. THE LREF CURRENTLY HAS A HIGH CHANCE (>70%) THAT PORTIONS OF
THE AREA WILL SEE WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 30 MPH. THE ELEVATED
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
INCREASE INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON
SUNDAY. A WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY. THE
SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT IS UNCERTAIN, BUT THERE IS
POTENTIAL WE SEE A WIND SHIFT FOR NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY. THIS WOULD HELP DROP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES FOR
THE START OF NEXT WEEK, BUT SHOULDN'T HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 550 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
VFR NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 KTS
ACROSS THE TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 64 90 64 91 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 61 89 61 90 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 60 90 58 90 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 60 90 58 90 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 64 90 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 63 87 61 87 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 62 88 60 87 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...04
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