887
FXUS64 KSJT 130548
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1248 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK, WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 136 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
WARM AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. HOWEVER, A WEAK SHORTWAVE
WILL MOVE THROUGH WEST TEXAS TONIGHT AND MAY BRING ENOUGH LIFT TO
GENERATE A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE BIG COUNTRY LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. COVERAGE WILL
BE LIMITED HOWEVER, AND MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY AS THE BULK OF
ANY APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF THE
AREA. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 60S, WITH HIGHS TOMORROW
IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER
TOMORROW AS WELL.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE AXIS BEGINS TO MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND FOUR CORNERS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
MORE OF A WEST- SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. BY NEXT WEEKEND, THERE IS
SOME DISAGREEMENT AMONGST OPERATIONAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ON THE
EVOLUTION OF A SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
U.S. AND ANY SUBSEQUENT RAIN CHANCES. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY THIS
FAR OUT WILL KEEP A DRY FORECAST IN PLACE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE,
THE UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THIS WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1207 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 90 65 89 61 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 89 62 88 58 / 10 0 0 0
JUNCTION 89 60 88 57 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 88 60 88 57 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 88 64 88 61 / 20 10 0 0
OZONA 87 63 86 61 / 10 0 0 0
BRADY 86 61 86 58 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...41
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