340
FXUS64 KSJT 131102
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
602 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK, WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 138 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE STATE OF TEXAS
TODAY. THIS WILL LARGELY RESULT IN WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING ACROSS OUR AREA. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S. EXPECT WINDS TO BE MUCH LOWER THAN YESTERDAY AS
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE AXIS BEGINS TO MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND FOUR CORNERS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
MORE OF A WEST- SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. BY NEXT WEEKEND, THERE IS
SOME DISAGREEMENT AMONGST OPERATIONAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ON THE
EVOLUTION OF A SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
U.S. AND ANY SUBSEQUENT RAIN CHANCES. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY THIS
FAR OUT WILL KEEP A DRY FORECAST IN PLACE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE,
THE UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THIS WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 538 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 90 65 89 61 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 89 62 88 58 / 10 0 0 0
JUNCTION 89 60 88 57 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 88 60 88 57 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 88 64 88 61 / 20 10 0 0
OZONA 87 63 86 61 / 10 0 0 0
BRADY 86 61 86 58 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...41
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