129
FXUS64 KSJT 141104
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
604 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WORK WEEK,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.
- LOW (<20%) CHANCES FOR RAIN THIS WEEKEND, MAINLY IN THE
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 156 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE REDEVELOPING ACROSS THE STATE OF
TEXAS TODAY. THIS WILL LARGELY RESULT IN WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING ACROSS OUR AREA. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S. EXPECT WINDS TO BE MUCH LOWER THAN YESTERDAY AS
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE AXIS BEGINS TO MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND FOUR CORNERS. OVER THE WEEKEND,
MODELS SWING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ATTENDANT PACIFIC FRONT
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. QPF FIELDS, HOWEVER, ARE LIGHT WITH THE
BEST CHANCE OF ANY MEASURABLE RAINFALL RIGHT NOW ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. OTHERWISE, THE FRONT WILL NOT HAVE AN
APPRECIABLE IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES. CONDITIONS OVERALL WILL
CONTINUE TO BE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE LONG TERM.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 552 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2025
ASOS OBSERVATIONS ACROSS KJCT, AND AREAS NEAR THERE, ARE
INDICATING SOME MVFR LEVELS AS OF 11Z THIS MORNING. THESE CEILING
OF ABOUT 1800 FT SHOULD DISSIPATE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE. IT WILL
BE A CLOSE CALL IF THEY DEVELOP FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO AFFECT KSJT
AND KBBD. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS THAT IT WOULD BE A BRIEF AND
INTERMITTENT OCCURRENCE IF IT DOES, AND IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR
BETWEEN 12Z AND 14Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 89 62 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 88 57 89 59 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 88 57 90 58 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 88 58 89 57 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 88 61 89 63 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 86 61 87 60 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 86 58 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...41
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