640
FXUS64 KSJT 141706
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1206 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WORK WEEK,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.
- LOW (<20%) CHANCES FOR RAIN THIS WEEKEND, MAINLY IN THE
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 156 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE REDEVELOPING ACROSS THE STATE OF
TEXAS TODAY. THIS WILL LARGELY RESULT IN WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING ACROSS OUR AREA. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S. EXPECT WINDS TO BE MUCH LOWER THAN YESTERDAY AS
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE AXIS BEGINS TO MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND FOUR CORNERS. OVER THE WEEKEND,
MODELS SWING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ATTENDANT PACIFIC FRONT
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. QPF FIELDS, HOWEVER, ARE LIGHT WITH THE
BEST CHANCE OF ANY MEASURABLE RAINFALL RIGHT NOW ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. OTHERWISE, THE FRONT WILL NOT HAVE AN
APPRECIABLE IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES. CONDITIONS OVERALL WILL
CONTINUE TO BE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE LONG TERM.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2025
EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE OF A FEW HOURS OF MVFR CEILINGS AT THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS
WEDNESDAY MORNING, BUT WILL NOT INCLUDE IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 89 62 89 61 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 88 57 89 59 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 88 56 89 58 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 88 58 88 56 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 88 61 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 85 59 87 59 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 85 58 87 58 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...21
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