925
FXUS64 KSJT 151817
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
117 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN AS WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES COMBINE WITH PERSISTENT DRY CONDITIONS.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND.
- LOW (<20%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND
MAINLY ACROSS A SMALL AREA OF THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA WILL BEGIN SHIFTING
EAST TOMORROW AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST MOVES
TOWARDS CENTRAL CONUS TOMORROW. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH, TIGHTENING OUR PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
INCREASING WINDS. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST
TOMORROW WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 112 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE PATTERN DURING MUCH OF
THE LONG TERM. EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY
WEATHER. THE WARMEST DAY WILL BE NEXT MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S TO NEAR 95. OTHERWISE, HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S FOR
MANY MORE DAYS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH. EXPECT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND DRY FUELS.
PLEASE FOLLOW FIRE SAFETY PRECAUTIONS. THIS HOT AND DRY PATTERN
WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS WITH DROUGHT
CONDITIONS BECOMING WORSE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 61 88 64 90 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 59 87 61 89 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 58 88 60 89 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 56 86 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 62 88 64 90 / 0 0 0 10
OZONA 59 85 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 58 85 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...AP
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