891
FXUS64 KSJT 151851
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1251 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES (40%-70%) INCREASE FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025
WE ARE STARTING TO SOUND LIKE A BROKEN RECORD, BUT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY EXCEED
THE CURRENT DAILY RECORD HIGHS, WITH MOST LOCATIONS TOPPING OUT IN
THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE COOL, BUT WELL
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS, IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90 FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. A WEAK FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE
BIG COUNTRY, SO HIGHS ACROSS THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES LOWER, IN THE LOW 80S. THE DAILY RECORD HIGH FOR NOVEMBER
16TH AT ABILENE IS 86 AND 87 AT SAN ANGELO.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CST SAT NOV 15 2025
EXPECT DRY AND HOT WEATHER THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A
DRY UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN REMAINS OVER THE AREA. THE
OPERATIONAL GLOBAL MODELS ARE COMING TOGETHER ON THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. AS A RESULT LOOK FOR LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES OF RAIN(40%-70%)
ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG MID LEVEL ASCENT, A PACIFIC COLD FRONT AND PW VALUES OF 1.25
TO 1.75 INCHES WILL RESULT IN A LOW CHANCE(10%-15%) OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AT THIS TIME. THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR THIS WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA.
ALSO, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE(5-15%) OF A FEW MARGINAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM IS A STILL A FEW DAYS OUT SO CHECK FOR
FURTHER UPDATES. EXPECT MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AND A LOW CHANCE OF LOWER
90S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1007 AM CST SAT NOV 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE BY LATE AFTERNOON AND BECOME LIGHT
OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 55 82 58 87 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 56 87 56 87 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 53 90 56 87 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 53 85 55 87 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 54 81 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 55 87 55 84 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 56 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...DANIELS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page