194
FXUS64 KSJT 011855
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1255 PM CST MON DEC 1 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
KNOCKING HIGHS BACK DOWN INTO THE 40S ON THURSDAY.
- MEDIUM CHANCE (20-30%) FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CST MON DEC 1 2025
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, CLOUD COVER IS SLOWLY ERODING FROM WEST TO
EAST. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TUESDAY MORNING. SKIES WILL BE CLEAR, DEWPOINTS WILL BE LOW, AND
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 5 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COLD
MORNING, WITH MOST LOCATIONS FORECAST TO DROP BELOW FREEZING. BUMPED
THE NBM LOWS DOWN A DEGREE OR TWO ACROSS THE BOARD, WITH LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. A MILD DAY IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY, WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO
15 MPH, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 125 AM CST MON DEC 1 2025
DESPITE A COLD START TUESDAY MORNING, WITH A RETURN TO SUNNY SKIES
AND SOUTHERLY WINDS, TEMPERATURES WARM TO HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 60S.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE BIG COUNTRY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS, FOR THE
MOST PART, WILL BE AFTER MAXIMUM HEATING ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20.
NORTH OF I-20, HIGHS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S, WITH
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S SOUTH.
AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE 4-CORNERS REGION WEDNESDAY
WEAKENS AS IT MOVE EAST THURSDAY. IT DOES, HOWEVER, BRING LIFT AND
MOISTURE OVER THE FRONT THURSDAY, ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.
HOWEVER, RAINFALL AMOUNTS LOOK ON THE LIGHTER SIDE. IN FACT, ON THE
DETERMINISTIC GFS THERE IS ONLY A FEW HUNDREDTHS INCH OF RAIN, WITH
AREAS FROM JUNCTION TO SAN SABA AROUND 1/10 INCH. OVER ALL, THE
TREND FOR THE LAST MODEL RUNS HAS BEEN FOR LOWER RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. COLD ADVECTION WITH THE FRONT AND CLOUDY SKIES WILL KEEP
THURSDAY ON THE COLD SIDE, WITH THE BIG COUNTRY ONLY REACHING THE
UPPER 30S TO 40 DEGREES. AREAS ALONG I-10 MAY ONLY WARM INTO THE
MID 40S.
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. THIS ALONG WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS AT THE SURFACE, WILL ALLOW
A WARM UP BACK TO NEAR 60 DEGREES FRIDAY, AND MID AND UPPER 60S
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT LATE SUNDAY WILL BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS MONDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1022 AM CST MON DEC 1 2025
MVFR CEILINGS CONTINUE LATE THIS MORNING AT ALL SITES. EXPECT THE
STRATUS TO GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON,
WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. EXPECT
WINDS TO GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 26 60 45 67 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 27 62 42 72 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 26 64 39 73 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 24 57 38 69 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 28 60 44 65 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 29 60 39 70 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 28 58 42 70 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...DANIELS
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