297
FXUS64 KSJT 020644
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1244 AM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
KNOCKING HIGHS BACK DOWN INTO THE 40S ON THURSDAY.
- MEDIUM CHANCE (20-30%) FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CST MON DEC 1 2025
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, CLOUD COVER IS SLOWLY ERODING FROM WEST TO
EAST. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING. SKIES WILL BE CLEAR, DEWPOINTS WILL BE
LOW, AND WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 5 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT
IN A COLD MORNING, WITH MOST LOCATIONS FORECAST TO DROP BELOW
FREEZING. BUMPED THE NBM LOWS DOWN A DEGREE OR TWO ACROSS THE
BOARD, WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. A MILD DAY IS
FORECAST ON TUESDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1243 AM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE BIG COUNTRY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND SHOULD BE SOUTH OF I-20 BY MAXIMUM HEATING TIME 2-3
PM. TEMPERATURES IN THE BIG COUNTRY SHOULD BE IN THE LOWER TO MID
60S WITH PERHAPS SOME 50S IN HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON. TO THE SOUTH
OF THE FRONT, FROM THE CONCHO VALLEY AND EAST TO COLEMAN AND
BROWNWOOD, HIGHS SHOULD BE IN THE LOWER 70S...WITH SOUTHWEST TO WEST
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
SKIES BECOME CLOUDY WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH APPROACH OF AN UPPER TROUGH
OUT OF NEW MEXICO. THERE IS WEAK LIFT OVER THE FRONT, MAINLY FROM
SONORA TO BROWNWOOD AND SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY. THERE COULD ALSO BE A
FEW SPRINKLES NORTH IN THE BIG COUNTRY THURSDAY MORNING, WITH
POSSIBLY A FEW FLURRIES AND SLEET. KEPT MOST OF THE WINTERY
POTENTIAL IN HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES...AND THIS POTENTIAL
IS LOW AT 20 PERCENT OR LESS. DO NOT EXPECT ANY WINTERY
ACCUMULATIONS IN HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON IN ANY CASE AND CERTAINLY
LITTLE OR NO IMPACT. MAIN CONCERN IS THAT THERE MAY BE PRECIPITATION
AT ALL, AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE MAY NOT BE SUFFICIENT. COLDEST
TEMPERATURES IN THE SATURATED LEVEL IS AROUND -7 C AND WARM LEVEL IS
AROUND 2.5 C AT 700 MB, SO AT LEAST WITH THE OPERATIONAL GFS MODEL,
WOULD BE HARD TO GET SNOW, THOUGH POSSIBLY A LITTLE SLEET, AS IT
FALLS INTO THE COLDER AIR NEAR SURFACE. NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED IN THE BIG COUNTRY OVER ALL. MEASURABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS,
LESS THAN 1/10 INCH, ARE MAINLY FROM SONORA TO BROWNWOOD AND
SOUTHWARD, THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT, WHERE THERE WILL BE SOME
LIFT OVER THE COLD FRONT.
SKIES GRADUALLY CLEAR FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST FRIDAY WITH DRIER
WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WINDS RETURN SOUTHWEST FRIDAY, THEN
WEST ON SATURDAY AS A SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND RED
RIVER. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE 65 TO 70 DEGREE RANGE, WITH A COLD
FRONT SUNDAY BRINGING TEMPERATURES DOWN AROUND 5 DEGREES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 903 PM CST MON DEC 1 2025
VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL
BECOME SOUTHERLY AROUND 10 KNOTS BY EARLY AFTERNOON TUESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 59 46 66 33 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 62 42 71 34 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 64 39 73 36 / 0 0 0 10
BROWNWOOD 56 37 69 34 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 61 45 64 33 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 60 38 69 36 / 0 0 0 10
BRADY 58 42 71 36 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...20
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