238
FXUS64 KSJT 032302
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
502 PM CST WED DEC 3 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS WILL BRING BREEZY AND COLDER CONDITIONS FOR
THURSDAY, ALONG WITH A LOW CHANCE (20 TO 30 PERCENT) FOR
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE DAY.
- DRY AND WARMER WEATHER WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 106 PM CST WED DEC 3 2025
SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS CROSSED THE RED RIVER AND IS HEADING
TOWARDS THE BIG COUNTRY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL
MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH
THE FRONT CLEARING THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY LATE EVENING. GUSTY
NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING, WITH WINDS BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. A
SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE, CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING,
WITH CLOUDY AND COLD CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. LOW LEVEL
COLD AIR ADVECTION, COUPLED WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER WILL RESULT
IN HIGHS TOMORROW MAINLY IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. BREEZY NORTH
WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COLDER, WITH WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE
30S FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. LASTLY, WEAK LIFT UP AND OVER THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY RESULT IN SOME VERY LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE
PRIMARILY ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA TOMORROW. HOWEVER, ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LIGHT.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CST WED DEC 3 2025
MOSTLY BENIGN WEATHER IN THE LONGER TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
IN GENERAL, UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US AND UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE WEST WILL ALLOW FOR A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA, BUT LIMITED MOISTURE WITH THEM SO PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL
REMAIN VERY LIMITED. SAME BASIC PATTERN WITH THESE WAVES, WITH
WARMER SOUTHWEST/WEST SURFACE WINDS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM (THIS
COMING SATURDAY AND NEXT WEDNESDAY), FOLLOWED BY A COLD
FRONT DRAGGING A COLDER AIR MASS INTO THE AREA (THIS SUNDAY AND
NEXT THURSDAY). COLDEST NIGHT OVER THE NEXT WEEK WILL BE MONDAY
MORNING WHEN RADIATIONAL COOLING ALLOWS TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO
NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 446 PM CST WED DEC 3 2025
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT, RESULTING IN
GUSTY NORTH WINDS WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS THURSDAY. STRATUS WILL SPREAD NORTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT AFTER
06Z, RESULTING IN MVFR CEILINGS AT THE SOUTHERN SITES. STRATUS
WILL ALSO SPREAD SOUTH BEHIND THE FRONT, ALSO RESULTING IN MVFR
CEILINGS AT KSJT AND KABI. THESE CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH SOME VERY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ON
THURSDAY, CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE CURRENT TAF
PACKAGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 36 43 32 63 / 10 20 0 0
SAN ANGELO 36 46 34 63 / 0 0 10 0
JUNCTION 38 50 34 62 / 10 10 10 10
BROWNWOOD 37 45 32 59 / 10 30 0 0
SWEETWATER 35 42 33 63 / 10 10 0 0
OZONA 37 48 35 59 / 0 0 10 10
BRADY 39 45 34 59 / 10 20 10 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...DANIELS
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