460
FXUS64 KSJT 040451
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1051 PM CST WED DEC 3 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, THIS WILL BRING BREEZY AND COLDER CONDITIONS FOR
THURSDAY, ALONG WITH A LOW CHANCE (20 TO 30 PERCENT) FOR
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE DAY.
- DRY AND WARMER WEATHER WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY,
BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY. GRADUAL WARMING FOR THE
BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH THE NEXT WEAK COLD FRONT ON
THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 106 PM CST WED DEC 3 2025
SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS CROSSED THE RED RIVER AND IS HEADING
TOWARDS THE BIG COUNTRY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL
MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH
THE FRONT CLEARING THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY LATE EVENING. GUSTY
NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING, WITH WINDS BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. A
SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE, CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING,
WITH CLOUDY AND COLD CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. LOW LEVEL
COLD AIR ADVECTION, COUPLED WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER WILL RESULT
IN HIGHS TOMORROW MAINLY IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. BREEZY NORTH
WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COLDER, WITH WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE
30S FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. LASTLY, WEAK LIFT UP AND OVER THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY RESULT IN SOME VERY LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE
PRIMARILY ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA TOMORROW. HOWEVER, ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LIGHT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM CST WED DEC 3 2025
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST
BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH A SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES TRACKING THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THOUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THE LIMITING FACTOR REMAINS THE AVAILABLE
MOISTURE FOR PRECIPITATION, WHICH MOST MODELS ARE SHOWING IS STILL
LACKING. AS OF NOW, WE ARE EXPECTING THESE SYSTEMS TO REMAIN DRY
AND TRACK THROUGH THE AREA WITH LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S SATURDAY, BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT ON
SUNDAY BRINGS HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 50S TO MID 60S.
TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY WARM BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S BY
WEDNESDAY, BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY.
COLDEST NIGHT OVER THE NEXT WEEK WILL BE MONDAY MORNING WHEN
RADIATIONAL COOLING ALLOWS TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW
FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 830 PM CST WED DEC 3 2025
A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING. EXPECT
GUSTY NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH THESE WINDS CONTINUING
INTO THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS THURSDAY. STRATUS WILL
APPROACH THE SOUTHERN 3 SITES DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
THURSDAY, AHEAD OF THE FRONT, RESULTING IN MVFR CEILINGS. BEHIND
THE FRONT, STRATUS WILL FILTER INTO THE KABI AND KSJT, RESULTING
IN MVFR CEILINGS. EXPECT GRADUAL IMPROVEMENTS IN CEILINGS BY MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON THURSDAY. ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ON
THURSDAY, BUT COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED, SO NO MENTION WAS
INCLUDED IN THE CURRENT TAFS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 66 36 44 32 / 0 10 10 0
SAN ANGELO 72 36 47 34 / 0 0 0 10
JUNCTION 72 39 51 35 / 0 10 10 10
BROWNWOOD 69 37 46 32 / 0 20 30 0
SWEETWATER 65 35 44 33 / 0 0 10 0
OZONA 69 37 49 35 / 0 0 0 10
BRADY 70 39 47 35 / 0 10 20 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...DANIELS
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