807
FXUS64 KSJT 050520
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1120 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE LOW/MID 30S BUT MUCH WARMER ON
FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S.
- DRY OVER THE WEEKEND AND WELL INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURE
FLUCTUATIONS AHEAD OF AND BEHIND A FEW COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
A COLD DAY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES HOLDING IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS MOST
AREAS. LOW CLOUDS WILL EVENTUALLY DECREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL PERSIST. THIS
WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM BOTTOMING OUT OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS
MAINLY IN THE LOW TO MID 30S. MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE A
LITTLE CLOSER OVERNIGHT, WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE COMBINING WITH SOME
OF THIS MID/UPPER MOISTURE TO SQUEEZE OUT A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF I-10. WILL CONTINUE THE
SLIGHT CHANCE MENTION DOWN THERE, ALTHOUGH AGAIN ANY RAIN REACHING
THE GROUND SHOULD BE LIGHT.
A LITTLE MORE SUNSHINE ON FRIDAY WITH A BREAK IN SOME OF THE MID
AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO BE
SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA AND LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
RETURN. FORECAST HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S FOR MOST
AREAS LOOKS PERFECTLY REASONABLE.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION AND BRING A
SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE SHOWING A PATTERN
SWITCH WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BEGINNING TO PUSH INTO THE AREA
BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. OVERALL, THE LONG TERM FORECAST WILL
REMAIN DRY, WITH A FEW DRY COLD FRONT PASSAGES OVER THE AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY NEXT WEEK.
A BRIEF WARMUP IS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND
DOWNSLOPING WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS, WHICH WILL KEEP HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO TRACK THROUGH THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY,
BRINGING BREEZY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS AND COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY IN THE MID 50S NORTH TO MID 60S. WITH WINDS WEAKENING AND
CLEAR SKIES CAUSING SOME RADIATIONAL COOLING SUNDAY NIGHT, THERE
IS POTENTIAL FOR A FREEZE INTO EARLY MORNING MORNING WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND IS EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAYS NEXT WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY COULD RISE INTO THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S, WHICH IS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE NEXT
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK THROUGH THE AREA LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY, COOLING HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF NEXT WEEK
INTO THE 60S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1059 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS WILL GRADUALLY RISE
TO VFR OVERNIGHT AS DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT OVERNIGHT AND TURN OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 5-10 KNOTS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 44 32 63 36 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 47 32 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 51 36 62 40 / 0 10 10 0
BROWNWOOD 47 33 60 38 / 10 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 44 34 66 35 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 49 37 61 38 / 0 10 0 0
BRADY 47 36 60 42 / 10 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...42
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