191
FXUS64 KSJT 060741
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
141 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO TODAY.
- COOLER SUNDAY AND MONDAY THEN WARMER BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- DRY THIS WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 140 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
LOOK FOR DRY AND WARMER WEATHER TODAY ACROSS THE AREA. ALSO, LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL PRODUCE A TIGHTER
PRESSURE GRADIENT LEADING TO GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS(25 TO 30 MPH)
ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AND BIG COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. EXPECT MILD AND DRY WEATHER
TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S AND 40S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
A DRY FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR NEXT WEEK, AND OUR AREA WILL BE UNDER
GENERALLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE MAIN
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES FOR OUR AREA WILL BE EARLY TO MID-MORNING
SUNDAY, AND LATER IN THE WEEK AROUND THURSDAY NIGHT.
SOMEWHAT BREEZY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY FOLLOWING THE
EARLY TO MID-MORNING COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. SUNNY BUT COOLER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AND AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 50S IN THE BIG COUNTRY, TO THE MID 60S ALONG/SOUTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR. WIND SPEEDS WILL DROP OFF SUNDAY NIGHT, AS THE AXIS OF A
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE (EXTENDING FROM THE MIDWEST SOUTHWEST
ACROSS TEXAS) SHIFTS EAST ACROSS OUR AREA. WITH RADIATIONAL COOLING,
A LIGHT FREEZE IS EXPECTED WITH MONDAY MORNING LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS MONDAY ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND A RETURN OF
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS.
WARMER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. INCREASED/BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TUESDAY WITH A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND LEE SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT TO OUR WEST. MAY HAVE A RATHER
WEAK COLD FRONT ENTER OUR AREA WEDNESDAY. IF THIS OCCURS, WOULD
BRING JUST A TEMPORARY WIND SHIFT. HIGHS WEDNESDAY ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER 60S NORTH TO MID 70S SOUTH. THE NEXT
MAIN COLD FRONT FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA
AROUND THE THURSDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME, AND POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO WAFFLE ON THE TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF THIS FRONT. AT THIS TIME, BLENDED MODEL SOLUTION
HAS HIGHS 10-15 DEGREES COOLER ON THE DAY FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE.
THIS WOULD BRING OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TERMINALS,
ALTHOUGH SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA.
LIGHT MAINLY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST AND
BECOME GUSTY DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AS A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA. SOME GUSTS WILL REACH THE 20-25+ KNOT RANGE.
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AGAIN AFTER SUNSET.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 69 41 59 29 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 72 43 63 30 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 74 43 66 29 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 69 41 61 28 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 69 42 58 32 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 72 44 64 29 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 70 46 61 31 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...07
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