682
FXUS64 KSJT 071946
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
146 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (20-60%) FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM TONIGHT (MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT) INTO
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
- A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE FRIDAY WILL BRING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CST WED JAN 7 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL APPROACH FAR WEST TEXAS TONIGHT
AND WEAKEN. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE, UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES
ARE FORECAST, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S THIS
AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THIS EVENING,
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE, WITH THE HIGHEST
RAIN CHANCES FROM THE NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY INTO THE BIG COUNTRY.
THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY LOW
INSTABILITY, BUT HIGH SHEAR. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE, WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN CONCERNS. AT
THIS POINT, ACTIVITY LOOKS TO REMAIN VERY ISOLATED, WITH MOST
LOCATIONS REMAINING DRY. A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL THEN APPROACH OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES TOWARD DAYBREAK, USHERING IN DRIER CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WEST WINDS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026
A BROAD TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE END OF THIS WEEK
AND THIS WEEKEND. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RESULT, WHICH WILL
RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND. LOWS
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S, AND HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
50S. WE MAY END UP ON THE EDGE OF A DEVELOPING RIDGE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN AND WESTERN U.S. FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS COULD
RESULT IN TEMPERATURES WARMING JUST A TOUCH FOR NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST WED JAN 7 2026
SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12KTS INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY TOWARDS 5Z AS A
45-50KT 850MB LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS AND PARTIALLY MIXES DOWN.
MVFR STRATUS POSSIBLE LATE NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AT KJCT
AND KBBD. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, MAINLY AT KABI. ONLY
MENTIONED VCSH AS COVERAGE WILL BE LO. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS
OTHERWISE SHIFT WEST MID MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 80 61 74 47 / 0 50 10 0
SAN ANGELO 82 58 73 43 / 0 30 0 0
JUNCTION 83 58 77 44 / 0 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 82 60 77 43 / 0 20 10 0
SWEETWATER 79 58 72 47 / 0 60 10 0
OZONA 79 56 72 44 / 0 10 0 0
BRADY 81 62 75 47 / 0 10 10 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...04
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page