699
FXUS64 KSJT 081913
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
113 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
- A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE FRIDAY WILL BRING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CST THU JAN 8 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL TRACK
EAST TOWARD THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH
THE APPROACH OF THIS SYSTEM ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT, WITH THIS ACTIVITY TRACKING EAST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS
MAINLY THE BIG COUNTRY. THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE AREA IS
CHARACTERIZED BY HIGH SHEAR AND LOW INSTABILITY. STILL, A FEW STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE, WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE MAIN CONCERNS. MOST CAMS KEEP THE ACTIVITY FAIRLY
ISOLATED, AND MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE BIG COUNTRY AND THIS IS WHERE
THE HIGHEST POPS ARE. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA
BY SUNRISE. A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA LATER
THIS MORNING, USHERING IN DRIER AIR AND GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE NORMAL, IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S FOR MOST LOCATIONS. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE
QUICKLY THIS EVENING, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
AFTER THE PACIFIC FRONT PASSAGE TODAY, THE NEXT STRONGER COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY
AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSES TO THE EAST. MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT, DROPPING TEMPERATURES MUCH
CLOSER TO WHERE THEY SHOULD BE FOR THE 2ND WEEK OF DECEMBER.
TEMPERATURES MAY DROP TO NEAR FREEZING SATURDAY MORNING, BUT
SUNDAY MORNING LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST MORNING. CARRYING LOW TO
MID 20S FOR MANY LOCATIONS, BUT IF IT ENDS UP BEING A NEAR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING SITUATION AS SOME OF THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING, THEN TEMPERATURES MAY NEED TO COME DOWN EVEN A FEW
MORE DEGREES.
HIGHS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR EVEN A FEW
DEGREES COLDER THAN NORMAL BY STAYING IN THE 50S. NORTH TO
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL NOT
COMPLETELY PREVENT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BUT WILL SLOW IT DOWN,
WITH HIGHS MAINLY STAYING IN THE 50S THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
MORNING LOWS WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL WITH THE DRY AIR MASS IN
PLACE, STAYING IN THE 30S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST THU JAN 8 2026
STRONG AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WEAKEN LATE AFTERNOON, BECOMING
SOUTHWEST TO WEST 8 KTS OR LESS EARLY EVENING. WINDS INCREASE
TOWARDS NOON FRIDAY, BECOMINGS WEST AND GUSTY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 74 44 69 34 / 20 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 74 42 68 33 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 77 43 73 33 / 0 0 10 0
BROWNWOOD 76 41 72 34 / 10 0 10 0
SWEETWATER 71 45 66 34 / 10 0 0 0
OZONA 72 41 68 33 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 75 46 70 35 / 0 0 20 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...04
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