725
FXUS64 KSJT 090422 AAB
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1022 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
- A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE FRIDAY WILL BRING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 123 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
WINDY WEST WINDS DECOUPLE AND WEAKEN EARLY THIS EVENING, BECOMING
LIGHT. LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER 40S WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS.
ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE MOVING INTO WEST TEXAS AND THE
PANHANDLE FRIDAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SURFACE TROUGH OVER WEST
AHEAD OF THE UPPER SYSTEM, BRINGING AFTERNOON GUSTY WEST WINDS,
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT FRIDAY EVENING. FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 2 HAS
AN ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE WEATHER FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST AREAS
ALONG/SOUTH OF I-20. THIS AS MINIMUM RH VALUES FALL INTO THE UPPER
TEENS. THE GUSTY WEST WIND SPEEDS, HOWEVER, WILL STAY BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES FOR FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER
FRIDAY, BUT STILL 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, RANGING FROM THE MID 60S
IN THE BIG COUNTRY TO LOWER 70S ALONG/EAST OF A COLEMAN TO JUNCTION
LINE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
AFTER THE PACIFIC FRONT PASSAGE TODAY, THE NEXT STRONGER COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY
AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSES TO THE EAST. MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT, DROPPING TEMPERATURES MUCH
CLOSER TO WHERE THEY SHOULD BE FOR THE 2ND WEEK OF DECEMBER.
TEMPERATURES MAY DROP TO NEAR FREEZING SATURDAY MORNING, BUT
SUNDAY MORNING LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST MORNING. CARRYING LOW TO
MID 20S FOR MANY LOCATIONS, BUT IF IT ENDS UP BEING A NEAR IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING SITUATION AS SOME OF THE MODELS ARE
INDICATING, THEN TEMPERATURES MAY NEED TO COME DOWN EVEN A FEW
MORE DEGREES.
HIGHS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR EVEN A FEW
DEGREES COLDER THAN NORMAL BY STAYING IN THE 50S. NORTH TO
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL NOT
COMPLETELY PREVENT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BUT WILL SLOW IT DOWN,
WITH HIGHS MAINLY STAYING IN THE 50S THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
MORNING LOWS WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL WITH THE DRY AIR MASS IN
PLACE, STAYING IN THE 30S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. DURING THE DAY FRIDAY, WEST WINDS AT KABI AND KSJT
WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY BY 17Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. FOR OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS, LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST AT 7-9 KNOTS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE EVENING AND EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS. INCREASED AND
GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED AFTER ITS PASSAGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 44 70 33 54 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 42 69 33 54 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 43 72 33 56 / 0 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 41 73 34 54 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 45 67 32 52 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 41 67 32 53 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 46 70 35 53 / 0 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...19
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