503
FXUS64 KSJT 090554
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1154 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY.
- A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT WILL BRING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 123 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
WINDY WEST WINDS DECOUPLE AND WEAKEN EARLY THIS EVENING, BECOMING
LIGHT. LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER 40S WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS.
ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE MOVING INTO WEST TEXAS AND THE
PANHANDLE FRIDAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SURFACE TROUGH OVER WEST
AHEAD OF THE UPPER SYSTEM, BRINGING AFTERNOON GUSTY WEST WINDS,
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT FRIDAY EVENING. FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 2 HAS
AN ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE WEATHER FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST AREAS
ALONG/SOUTH OF I-20. THIS AS MINIMUM RH VALUES FALL INTO THE UPPER
TEENS. THE GUSTY WEST WIND SPEEDS, HOWEVER, WILL STAY BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES FOR FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER
FRIDAY, BUT STILL 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, RANGING FROM THE MID 60S
IN THE BIG COUNTRY TO LOWER 70S ALONG/EAST OF A COLEMAN TO JUNCTION
LINE.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE SETUP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
SATURDAY MORNING, WITH A STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT EXITING THE
REGION TO OUR SOUTHEAST. IN THE WAKE OF THIS STRONG COLD FRONT,
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO DROP
INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S, WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLING TO MAKE IT TO THE LOW TO MID 50S. BY SUNDAY MORNING,
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW 20S TO NEAR 30,
WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES SEEN ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.
BREEZY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO SATURDAY AS WELL, ALONG
PROLONGED DRIER CONDITIONS (RH VALUES IN THE 15 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE), WHICH COULD LEAD TO AN EXTENSION TO THE ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER RISK ON FRIDAY TO ALSO CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE NORTHERLY FROM 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUST AS HIGH AS 35
MPH, ESPECIALLY EARLIER IN THE DAY.
NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL NOT COMPLETELY PREVENT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND, BUT WILL ACT
TO SLOW IT DOWN, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY STAYING IN THE 60S
FOR THE WORK WEEK NEXT WEEK, AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW 30S TO
LOW 40S. GENERALLY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, THE FORECAST REMAINS
DRY, WITH A EVER-SO-SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU BRIEFLY MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER, THERE IS
CURRENTLY LOW CONFIDENCE OF THIS COMING TO FRUITION FOR MONDAY
AND HAVE LEANED MORE TOWARD THE DRIER MODEL SOLUTIONS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. DURING THE DAY FRIDAY, WEST WINDS AT KABI AND KSJT
WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY BY 17Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. FOR OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS, LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST AT 7-9 KNOTS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE EVENING AND EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS. INCREASED AND
GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED AFTER ITS PASSAGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 74 44 70 33 / 20 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 74 42 69 33 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 77 43 72 33 / 0 0 10 0
BROWNWOOD 76 41 73 34 / 10 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 71 45 67 32 / 10 0 0 0
OZONA 73 41 67 32 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 75 46 70 35 / 0 0 10 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...19
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