993
FXUS64 KSJT 091821
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1221 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY.
- A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT WILL BRING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
CURRENTLY THERE ARE SOME ISOLATED STORMS IN SAN SABA AND MASON
COUNTIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE ARE PRODUCING SMALL
HAIL, BUT THEY ARE BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. EXPECT THESE STORMS TO
MOVE OUT OF THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
OTHERWISE, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT, REACHING THE
I-20 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 9 PM AND 10 PM TONIGHT, THE SAN ANGELO AREA
BY AROUND 11 PM, AND THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY MIDNIGHT OR SHORTLY
AFTER. NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT, AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
AFTERNOON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COLDER, WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE LOW TO MID 50S. OTHER THAN THE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON, NO OTHER
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE SETUP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
SATURDAY MORNING, WITH A STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT EXITING THE
REGION TO OUR SOUTHEAST. IN THE WAKE OF THIS STRONG COLD FRONT,
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO DROP
INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S, WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLING TO MAKE IT TO THE LOW TO MID 50S. BY SUNDAY MORNING,
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW 20S TO NEAR 30,
WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES SEEN ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.
BREEZY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO SATURDAY AS WELL, ALONG
PROLONGED DRIER CONDITIONS (RH VALUES IN THE 15 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE), WHICH COULD LEAD TO AN EXTENSION TO THE ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER RISK ON FRIDAY TO ALSO CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE NORTHERLY FROM 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUST AS HIGH AS 35
MPH, ESPECIALLY EARLIER IN THE DAY.
NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL NOT COMPLETELY PREVENT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND, BUT WILL ACT
TO SLOW IT DOWN, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY STAYING IN THE 60S
FOR THE WORK WEEK NEXT WEEK, AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW 30S TO
LOW 40S. GENERALLY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, THE FORECAST REMAINS
DRY, WITH A EVER-SO-SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU BRIEFLY MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER, THERE IS
CURRENTLY LOW CONFIDENCE OF THIS COMING TO FRUITION FOR MONDAY
AND HAVE LEANED MORE TOWARD THE DRIER MODEL SOLUTIONS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. WEST
WINDS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY
AT SJT AND ABI WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS.
LATE TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BRINGING NORTH WINDS
OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AS HIGHS AS 30 KNOTS AT TIMES. THESE
WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE 15 KNOT RANGE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
MORNING. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS BEHIND THE FRONT
AT KABI.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 34 53 26 59 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 33 53 22 59 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 32 56 22 59 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 33 55 25 61 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 33 52 27 59 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 32 53 25 57 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 35 53 27 58 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...20
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