223
FXUS64 KSJT 100531
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1131 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY.
- A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT WILL BRING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
CURRENTLY THERE ARE SOME ISOLATED STORMS IN SAN SABA AND MASON
COUNTIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE ARE PRODUCING SMALL
HAIL, BUT THEY ARE BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. EXPECT THESE STORMS TO
MOVE OUT OF THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
OTHERWISE, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT, REACHING THE
I-20 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 9 PM AND 10 PM TONIGHT, THE SAN ANGELO AREA
BY AROUND 11 PM, AND THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY MIDNIGHT OR SHORTLY
AFTER. NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT, AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
AFTERNOON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COLDER, WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE LOW TO MID 50S. OTHER THAN THE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON, NO OTHER
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 133 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DIRECTLY OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
SUNDAY MORNING. LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES AND A DRY ATMOSPHERE WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL WELL INTO THE 20S, AND WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE TEENS IN A FEW AREAS. SURFACE RIDGING WILL STILL BE
IN PLACE TUESDAY MORNING, WITH MOST AREAS HAVING AT LEAST A LIGHT
FREEZE, AND PROTECTED AREAS COULD FALL INTO THE MID 20S.
AN UPPER LOW IN N. MEXICO MAY BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
MONDAY NIGHT TO CROCKETT COUNTY, BUT POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW, WITH
PERHAPS A BETTER CHANCE FATHER SOUTH OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA
IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS. THERE IS A RETURN TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, BEFORE A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY SHIFTS WINDS
BACK NORTH. COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH THE WEDNESDAY COLD FRONT IS
NOT STRONG, WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED MID AND LATE WEEK,
AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE DRY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
COLD FRONT WILL MAKE RAPID PROGRESS AS IT MOVES QUICKLY ACROSS
THE AREA AND WINDS QUICKLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH. NORTH WINDS GUSTING
AROUND 20-30 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS ALL OF THE TERMINALS
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SPEEDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AS THE SURFACE
HIGH BUILDS INTO THE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
MOST OF THE TERMINALS FOR MOST OF THE TIME. EXCEPTION MAY BE AT
KABI, WHERE LOW CLOUDS NOTED ON SATELLITE MAY SPREAD SOUTH INTO
ABILENE FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. WILL
CONTINUE THE TREND AND INCLUDE A BRIEF MENTION OF MVFR CIGS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 34 53 26 60 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 33 53 23 59 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 32 55 21 60 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 33 54 24 61 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 33 52 28 60 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 32 53 23 57 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 35 53 26 59 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...42
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