837
FXUS64 KSJT 100620
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1220 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY.
- A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT WILL BRING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
CURRENTLY THERE ARE SOME ISOLATED STORMS IN SAN SABA AND MASON
COUNTIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE ARE PRODUCING SMALL
HAIL, BUT THEY ARE BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. EXPECT THESE STORMS TO
MOVE OUT OF THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
OTHERWISE, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT, REACHING THE
I-20 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 9 PM AND 10 PM TONIGHT, THE SAN ANGELO AREA
BY AROUND 11 PM, AND THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY MIDNIGHT OR SHORTLY
AFTER. NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT, AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
AFTERNOON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COLDER, WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE LOW TO MID 50S. OTHER THAN THE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON, NO OTHER
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS FURTHER EASTWARD SUNDAY AND
A BRIEF WINDOW OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
TAKE ITS PLACE, WE WILL SEE MORE CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY, AND CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT, WE COULD SEE
LOW TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 20S EARLY SUNDAY MORNING DUE TO
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND COLD AIR ADVECTION. SOME LOW LYING AREAS
COULD ALSO SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS, AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE MID 50S
TO LOW 60S.
DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE SHOWING HINTS OF A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL LOW
OVER NORTHERN MEXICO MONDAY, THAT CAN HELP BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MODELS
ARE GENERALLY KEEPING THESE SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR,
WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY, SHIFTING SURFACE WINDS FROM
GENERALLY THE SOUTHWEST BACK TO THE NORTH. COLD AIR ADVECTION
WITH THE WEDNESDAY COLD FRONT IS NOT STRONG, WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY
COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. NO PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED MID AND LATE WEEK, AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE DRY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
COLD FRONT WILL MAKE RAPID PROGRESS AS IT MOVES QUICKLY ACROSS
THE AREA AND WINDS QUICKLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH. NORTH WINDS GUSTING
AROUND 20-30 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS ALL OF THE TERMINALS
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SPEEDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AS THE SURFACE
HIGH BUILDS INTO THE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
MOST OF THE TERMINALS FOR MOST OF THE TIME. EXCEPTION MAY BE AT
KABI, WHERE LOW CLOUDS NOTED ON SATELLITE MAY SPREAD SOUTH INTO
ABILENE FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. WILL
CONTINUE THE TREND AND INCLUDE A BRIEF MENTION OF MVFR CIGS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 53 26 60 33 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 53 23 59 32 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 55 21 60 32 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 54 24 61 31 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 52 28 60 35 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 53 23 57 33 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 53 26 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...42
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