699
FXUS64 KSJT 101159
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
559 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
- MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND BEHIND A STRONG
COLD FRONT, WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE 20S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 257 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
STRONG COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. IT WILL BE MUCH COOLER TODAY, WITH HIGHS IN
THE 50S AREA WIDE. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS BUT SHOULD COME DOWN THIS EVENING AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND A VERY DRY
AIRMASS IN PLACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 20S
AREA WIDE TONIGHT. THE COLDEST READINGS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTY WHERE WE COULD
SEE SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS AND SHELTERED AREAS DROP INTO THE
LOWER 20S OR EVEN THE TEENS IF IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS ARE REALIZED. REGARDLESS, IT WILL BE A CHILLY NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS FURTHER EASTWARD SUNDAY AND
A BRIEF WINDOW OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
TAKE ITS PLACE, WE WILL SEE MORE CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY, AND CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT, WE COULD SEE
LOW TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 20S EARLY SUNDAY MORNING DUE TO
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND COLD AIR ADVECTION. SOME LOW LYING AREAS
COULD ALSO SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS, AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE MID 50S
TO LOW 60S.
DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE SHOWING HINTS OF A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL LOW
OVER NORTHERN MEXICO MONDAY, THAT CAN HELP BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MODELS
ARE GENERALLY KEEPING THESE SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR,
WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY, SHIFTING SURFACE WINDS FROM
GENERALLY THE SOUTHWEST BACK TO THE NORTH. COLD AIR ADVECTION
WITH THE WEDNESDAY COLD FRONT IS NOT STRONG, WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY
COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. NO PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED MID AND LATE WEEK, AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE DRY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 525 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS. GUSTY NORTH WINDS OF 15-25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING TO UNDER 10 KNOTS TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 53 26 60 33 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 53 23 59 32 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 55 21 60 32 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 54 24 61 31 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 52 28 60 35 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 53 23 57 33 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 53 26 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...42
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