813  
FXUS64 KSJT 111925  
AFDSJT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX  
125 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026  
   
..NEW LONG TERM
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
 
- CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWER MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FOR  
AREAS SOUTH OF A SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 249 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026  
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE HAS SETTLED OVER OUR AREA THIS MORNING  
IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED  
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY, NORTHERN  
EDWARDS PLATEAU, AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY DESPITE SOME HIGH  
CLOUDS STREAMING OVERHEAD. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL  
SIDE TODAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WITH HIGH  
CLOUDS CONTINUING TO STREAM OVERHEAD. OTHERWISE, VERY QUIET  
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 125 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026  
 
A WEAK, SOUTHERN-STREAM, UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO  
FAR WEST TEXAS BY MONDAY EVENING. THIS WILL PRODUCE CLOUDY WITH NEAR-  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THERE IS A LOW TO  
MEDIUM CHANCE (20-40%) FOR RAIN SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY  
MORNING FOR THE CONCHO VALLEY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU. HOWEVER, VERY  
LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS, IF ANY, ARE EXPECTED DUE TO THE LACK OF  
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE. HIGHS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S  
AS CLOUD COVER WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR.  
 
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EASTWARD BY WEDNESDAY AND GET  
ABSORBED INTO A MUCH DEEPER TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE  
EASTERN US. THIS MORE PROMINENT FEATURE SHOULD PUSH ANOTHER COLD  
FRONT THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THIS  
ONE IS NOT AS STRONG AS THE PREVIOUS ONE BECAUSE THE COLDEST AIR  
WILL BE MUCH FURTHER EAST OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. TEMPERATURES  
SHOULD STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BOTH DAYS WITH A QUICK RECOVERY ON  
THURSDAY.  
 
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK, MODELS SHOW ANOTHER TROUGH DROPPING  
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS COULD PUSH A STRONGER COLD  
FRONT INTO TEXAS FOR THE WEEKEND. MUCH MORE MODEL UNCERTAINTY  
EXISTS WITH THIS PATTERN BEHIND THURSDAY, SO SOME FORECAST  
FLUCTUATION IS EXPECTED. FOR NOW, HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR TO  
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL, BUT THIS WILL BE WATCHED AS THE WEEK GOES ON  
FOR ANY POTENTIAL IMPACTS.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026  
 
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
ABILENE 35 64 38 63 / 0 0 0 10  
SAN ANGELO 34 61 37 57 / 0 0 20 20  
JUNCTION 34 60 37 56 / 0 0 30 20  
BROWNWOOD 31 63 35 62 / 0 0 10 10  
SWEETWATER 36 61 39 61 / 0 0 0 10  
OZONA 35 57 38 55 / 0 10 40 20  
BRADY 36 60 39 55 / 0 0 10 20  
 

 
   
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...42  
LONG TERM....SK  
AVIATION...21  
 
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