618
FXUS64 KSJT 121011
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
411 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING
FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 249 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT MID TO HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE STREAMING ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO INTO THE BIG BEND AND
NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. A WEAK SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS RESULTING IN SOME LIGHT RETURNS SHOWING
UP ON RADAR IN VAL VERDE AND EDWARDS COUNTIES. CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF OUR FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING BUT GIVEN THE VERY DRY NEAR SURFACE LAYER NOT
EXPECTING ANY ACCUMULATIONS OR IMPACTS. OTHERWISE, TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 60S IN THE BIG COUNTRY TO THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA WHERE MORE CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED.
TONIGHT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS OR LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN ON THE LOWER SIDE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1214 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. THESE SHOWERS, ALONG WITH THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER WITH
IT, WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A
SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE. CARRYING MID TO UPPER 50S FOR THESE
AREAS RIGHT NOW, BUT IF CLOUD COVER IS A LITTLE THICKER THAN THESE
MAY NEED TO COME DOWN ANOTHER COUPLE DEGREES.
THAT UPPER TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE AREA FOR MID WEEK, AS A
LONGWAVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN US. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE SOUTH DOWN THE WEST
SIDE OF THIS TROUGH AXIS AND HELP PUSH ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT
SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS FOR FRIDAY. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT
THIS AIR MASS WILL BE MORE OF A GLANCING BLOW WITH THE SURFACE
RIDGE SHIFTING EAST VERY QUICKLY AND BRINGING WARMER CONDITIONS
BACK TO THE AREA FOR LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 940 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH MID LEVEL CLOUDS DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHERN
TERMINALS MONDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT BECOME
SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 KTS MIDDAY MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 64 38 63 41 / 0 0 10 0
SAN ANGELO 60 38 57 36 / 0 20 20 0
JUNCTION 60 38 57 35 / 10 30 20 0
BROWNWOOD 63 35 60 36 / 0 0 10 0
SWEETWATER 61 38 62 42 / 0 0 10 0
OZONA 58 38 56 35 / 10 50 20 0
BRADY 60 40 56 40 / 0 20 20 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...04
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