393
FXUS64 KSJT 121744
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1144 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING
FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 249 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT MID TO HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE STREAMING ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO INTO THE BIG BEND AND
NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. A WEAK SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS RESULTING IN SOME LIGHT RETURNS SHOWING
UP ON RADAR IN VAL VERDE AND EDWARDS COUNTIES. CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF OUR FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING BUT GIVEN THE VERY DRY NEAR SURFACE LAYER NOT
EXPECTING ANY ACCUMULATIONS OR IMPACTS. OTHERWISE, TODAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 60S IN THE BIG COUNTRY TO THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA WHERE MORE CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED.
TONIGHT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS OR LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN ON THE LOWER SIDE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1214 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. THESE SHOWERS, ALONG WITH THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER WITH
IT, WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A
SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE. CARRYING MID TO UPPER 50S FOR THESE
AREAS RIGHT NOW, BUT IF CLOUD COVER IS A LITTLE THICKER THAN THESE
MAY NEED TO COME DOWN ANOTHER COUPLE DEGREES.
THAT UPPER TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE AREA FOR MID WEEK, AS A
LONGWAVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN US. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL ROTATE SOUTH DOWN THE WEST
SIDE OF THIS TROUGH AXIS AND HELP PUSH ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT
SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS FOR FRIDAY. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT
THIS AIR MASS WILL BE MORE OF A GLANCING BLOW WITH THE SURFACE
RIDGE SHIFTING EAST VERY QUICKLY AND BRINGING WARMER CONDITIONS
BACK TO THE AREA FOR LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA. MVFR STRATUS LOOKS TO SPREAD
NORTHEASTWARD TO AREAS SUCH AS SONORA AND JUNCTION AFTER 10Z. SOME
BRIEF SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT THIS WAS LEFT OUT OF THE TAFS DUE
TO LOW COVERAGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 39 62 41 63 / 0 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 39 58 37 65 / 30 30 0 0
JUNCTION 38 59 35 66 / 50 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 36 60 36 63 / 10 30 0 0
SWEETWATER 39 62 42 63 / 0 10 0 0
OZONA 38 56 35 65 / 60 20 0 0
BRADY 41 57 40 63 / 30 20 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...SK
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