553
FXUS64 KSJT 130445
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1045 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF A SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
THIS AFTERNOON, A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWEST
MEXICO. THIS WAS PROVIDING A STEADY FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. FOR NOW, THIS MOISTURE LOOKS TO
REMAIN CONFINED TO THE MID-LEVEL THIS EVENING. HOWEVER, THIS WILL
CHANGE OVERNIGHT AS MORE MOISTURE BUILDS IN THROUGHOUT THE LOW
LEVELS. CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF I-20 AS POCKETS OF THE LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS BECOME MORE
SATURATED. HOWEVER, AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT, GIVEN THE LACK OF GOOD
SUPPORT AND NECESSARY MOISTURE FOR STEADY RAIN. LOWS SHOULD BE IN
THE 40S TONIGHT, MAINLY DUE TO THE RECOVERING AIRMASS AND WIDESPREAD
CLOUD COVER. LIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE CONCHO VALLEY
AND HEARTLAND TOMORROW MORNING BUT SHOULD COME TO AN END IN THE
AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD. CLOUDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND ALLOW HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND
THE UPPER 50S FOR AREAS FURTHER SOUTH.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1255 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL TRACK SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY
MORNING, AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TRACKS ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
BEHIND THE FRONT, NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH, WITH HIGHER GUSTS,
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY. BUMPED UP THE NBM WINDS A BIT DURING
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL, IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 30S.
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S, WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL TRACK SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY,
USHERING IN COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE
NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS, IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE IN THE 30S. NO RAIN IS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT EXTENDED
FORECAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS IN CROCKETT COUNTY AT 430Z WILL SPREAD
NORTHEAST INTO THE CONCHO VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING, SATURATING
THE ATMOSPHERE ENOUGH TO LOWER CEILINGS TO MVFR AT KSOA AND KSJT
12Z TO 19Z. HAVE MENTION OF LIGHT RAIN AT SONORA AT START OF
FORECAST, WITH VCSH AT KSJT BEGINNING AT 10Z. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE IN THEIR VICINITIES UNTIL NOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 39 63 41 62 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 39 58 38 64 / 30 20 0 0
JUNCTION 38 60 36 66 / 30 20 0 0
BROWNWOOD 36 60 37 63 / 0 20 0 0
SWEETWATER 39 63 43 62 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 38 57 36 64 / 50 20 0 0
BRADY 41 57 41 62 / 20 20 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....DANIELS
AVIATION...04
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