022
FXUS64 KSJT 130622
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1222 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF A SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS FOR MUCH
OF THE UPCOMING WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
THIS AFTERNOON, A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWEST
MEXICO. THIS WAS PROVIDING A STEADY FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. FOR NOW, THIS MOISTURE LOOKS TO
REMAIN CONFINED TO THE MID-LEVEL THIS EVENING. HOWEVER, THIS WILL
CHANGE OVERNIGHT AS MORE MOISTURE BUILDS IN THROUGHOUT THE LOW
LEVELS. CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF I-20 AS POCKETS OF THE LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS BECOME MORE
SATURATED. HOWEVER, AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT, GIVEN THE LACK OF GOOD
SUPPORT AND NECESSARY MOISTURE FOR STEADY RAIN. LOWS SHOULD BE IN
THE 40S TONIGHT, MAINLY DUE TO THE RECOVERING AIRMASS AND WIDESPREAD
CLOUD COVER. LIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE CONCHO VALLEY
AND HEARTLAND TOMORROW MORNING BUT SHOULD COME TO AN END IN THE
AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD. CLOUDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND ALLOW HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND
THE UPPER 50S FOR AREAS FURTHER SOUTH.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
PASSAGE OF THE SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE AREA WILL ALLOW A COLD FRONT
TO SWEEPS SOUTH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. PRESSURE
GRADIENT LOOKS TIGHT AND MODEL BLENDS HAVE BEEN UNDERESTIMATING
WIND SPEEDS WITH THESE FRONTAL PASSAGES, SO BUMPED WIND SPEEDS UP
A LITTLE ON WEDNESDAY. WIND SPEEDS DROP OFF BY THURSDAY MORNING
BUT THE SURFACE HIGH DOESN'T COMPLETELY SETTLE ACROSS THE AREA SO
WINDS DON'T LOOK TO GO DEAD CALM. THIS WILL MEAN A COLD NIGHT
NEAR FREEZING IN MANY LOCATIONS, BUT NOT COMPLETELY BOTTOMING OUT
LIKE WE DID A FEW MORNINGS AGO.
AFTER A BRIEF WARMUP ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS APPROACHING 70,
ANOTHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND DROPS
TEMPERATURES DOWN CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS ONCE MORE. HIGHS IN
THE 60S AND LOWS INT HE 30S FOR NEXT WEEKEND. NO HINT OF
PRECIPITATION IN THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS IN CROCKETT COUNTY AT 430Z WILL SPREAD
NORTHEAST INTO THE CONCHO VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING, SATURATING
THE ATMOSPHERE ENOUGH TO LOWER CEILINGS TO MVFR AT KSOA AND KSJT
12Z TO 19Z. HAVE MENTION OF LIGHT RAIN AT SONORA AT START OF
FORECAST, WITH VCSH AT KSJT BEGINNING AT 10Z. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE IN THEIR VICINITIES UNTIL NOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 60 41 62 32 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 57 38 64 32 / 30 0 0 0
JUNCTION 60 36 66 29 / 20 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 61 37 63 29 / 20 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 61 43 62 34 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 56 36 64 32 / 20 0 0 0
BRADY 58 41 62 32 / 20 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...04
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