519
FXUS64 KSJT 131021
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
421 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A
SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE.
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS FOR
WEDNESDAY THOUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 351 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS THE UPPER LOW SPINNING
OVER FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS NEAR THE BIG BEND. LIGHT RAIN IS
SPREADING NORTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS AS THE UPPER LOW PIVOTS EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE-
LESS THAN 0.20" FOR AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF A SAN ANGELO TO
BROWNWOOD LINE. RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF BY THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMEST ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY NORTH OF I-10
WHERE MORE SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED. FURTHER SOUTH CLOUD COVER WILL
HOLD TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
DROP INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S, WITH THE COLDEST READINGS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
PASSAGE OF THE SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE AREA WILL ALLOW A COLD FRONT
TO SWEEPS SOUTH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. PRESSURE
GRADIENT LOOKS TIGHT AND MODEL BLENDS HAVE BEEN UNDERESTIMATING
WIND SPEEDS WITH THESE FRONTAL PASSAGES, SO BUMPED WIND SPEEDS UP
A LITTLE ON WEDNESDAY. WIND SPEEDS DROP OFF BY THURSDAY MORNING
BUT THE SURFACE HIGH DOESN'T COMPLETELY SETTLE ACROSS THE AREA SO
WINDS DON'T LOOK TO GO DEAD CALM. THIS WILL MEAN A COLD NIGHT
NEAR FREEZING IN MANY LOCATIONS, BUT NOT COMPLETELY BOTTOMING OUT
LIKE WE DID A FEW MORNINGS AGO.
AFTER A BRIEF WARMUP ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS APPROACHING 70,
ANOTHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND DROPS
TEMPERATURES DOWN CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS ONCE MORE. HIGHS IN
THE 60S AND LOWS INT HE 30S FOR NEXT WEEKEND. NO HINT OF
PRECIPITATION IN THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS IN CROCKETT COUNTY AT 430Z WILL SPREAD
NORTHEAST INTO THE CONCHO VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING, SATURATING
THE ATMOSPHERE ENOUGH TO LOWER CEILINGS TO MVFR AT KSOA AND KSJT
12Z TO 19Z. HAVE MENTION OF LIGHT RAIN AT SONORA AT START OF
FORECAST, WITH VCSH AT KSJT BEGINNING AT 10Z. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE IN THEIR VICINITIES UNTIL NOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 60 41 62 32 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 57 38 64 32 / 30 0 0 0
JUNCTION 60 36 66 29 / 30 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 61 37 63 29 / 20 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 61 43 62 34 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 56 36 64 32 / 20 0 0 0
BRADY 58 41 62 32 / 20 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...04
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