496
FXUS64 KSJT 151934
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
134 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, WITH TEMPERATURES
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
- A COLD FRONT FRIDAY WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS, AND COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS, LEADING TO SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1040 AM CST THU JAN 15 2026
BRIEF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
KEEPING THE WEATHER FAIRLY QUIET TODAY AND TONIGHT. MILD AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DRIER CONDITIONS, AND BREEZY
WINDS KEEPING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY MAINLY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BRIEFLY
DIMINISH THIS EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WITH A FEW AREAS,
IN THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLY SEEING SOME OVERNIGHT GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH. FRIDAY MORNING, WINDS WILL SWITCH TO NORTHERLY AND
BECOME GUSTY BEHIND THE PASSING COLD FRONT, WITH WINDS REACHING 15
TO 25 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH THROUGHT HE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. WINDS WELL THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AS
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS SET IN OVER THE AREA. OVERNIGHT LOWS
TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. IN WAKE
OF THE COLD FRONT TRACKING THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY, FRIDAY'S HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO SURPASS THE 50S, WITH A FEW AREAS
ALONG I-10 BEING IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1246 AM CST THU JAN 15 2026
A BROAD TROUGH IS DEPICTED IN THE MODEL DATA ACROSS THE MIDWEST
THROUGH MUCH OF THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST. A COLD
FRONT WILL BE DRIVEN ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY AS A RESULT. IN
FACT, THIS TROUGH WILL HAVE AN EMBEDDED DISTURBANCE DEVELOP, AND
THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO SEND A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE AREA AGAIN ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL FLUCTUATE A LITTLE
BIT AS A RESULT WITH HIGHS LARGELY STAYING NEAR THE 50S AND 60S
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. OTHERWISE, NO SIGNIFICANT CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1040 AM CST THU JAN 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL DIMINISH
SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KABI AND KSJT WHO WILL
SEE SOME OVERNIGHT GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS BETWEEN 05Z AND 10Z
BEFORE DIMINISHING. FRIDAY MORNING, WINDS WILL SWITCH TO NORTHERLY
AND BECOME GUSTY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, REACHING AS HIGH AS 15 TO
20 KTS WITH SOME GUSTS TO 35 KTS OR HIGHER FROM THE MID MORNING TO
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 42 58 29 47 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 41 59 28 50 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 40 64 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 39 60 28 48 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 43 56 31 47 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 37 59 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 45 59 31 48 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...TP
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