137
FXUS64 KSJT 152351
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
551 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, WITH TEMPERATURES
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
- A COLD FRONT FRIDAY WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS, AND COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS, LEADING TO SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1040 AM CST THU JAN 15 2026
BRIEF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
KEEPING THE WEATHER FAIRLY QUIET TODAY AND TONIGHT. MILD AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DRIER CONDITIONS, AND BREEZY
WINDS KEEPING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY MAINLY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BRIEFLY
DIMINISH THIS EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WITH A FEW AREAS,
IN THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLY SEEING SOME OVERNIGHT GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH. FRIDAY MORNING, WINDS WILL SWITCH TO NORTHERLY AND
BECOME GUSTY BEHIND THE PASSING COLD FRONT, WITH WINDS REACHING 15
TO 25 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH THROUGHT HE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. WINDS WELL THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AS
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS SET IN OVER THE AREA. OVERNIGHT LOWS
TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. IN WAKE
OF THE COLD FRONT TRACKING THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY, FRIDAY'S HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO SURPASS THE 50S, WITH A FEW AREAS
ALONG I-10 BEING IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 141 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026
COLDER SATURDAY, AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND COLD
FRONT. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S,
EXCEPT LOWER 50S ALONG I-10 FROM OZONA TO SONORA AND JUNCTION.
WARMER ON SUNDAY AS WINDS SHIFT BACK SOUTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY,
CONTRIBUTING TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH MINIMUM RH
VALUES IN THE 16 TO 22 PERCENT RANGE.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN MONDAY KEEPING TEMPERATURE COOLER
INTO TUESDAY, BEFORE SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WHILE THE GFS OPERATIONAL MODEL HAS RAIN
SHOWERS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, AS AN UPPER
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH, THE NBM KEEPS PRECIPITATION SOUTH OF THE
REGION. AT THIS TIME WILL KEEP THE REGION DRY WITH THE 12Z EC ALSO
DRY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 546 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS THE TERMINALS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET BUT THEN INCREASE
AT KABI AND KSJT AFTER 05Z, WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 20 TO 25
KNOTS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE TERMINALS TOMORROW
MORNING, WITH FROPA AT KABI AROUND 13Z, KSJT BY 15Z AND SOUTHERN
TERMINALS AROUND 16Z. EXPECT GUSTY NORTH WINDS TO DEVELOP BEHIND
THE FRONT, WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KNOTS INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 42 58 29 47 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 41 59 28 50 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 40 64 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 39 60 28 48 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 43 56 31 47 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 37 59 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 45 59 31 48 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...24
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