008
FXUS64 KSJT 160653 CCA
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1249 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL TNEXT WEEK WITH DRY THIS
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
- COOLING TREND FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES
WELL-ABOVE NORMAL. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME SOMEWHAT
GUSTY BY AFTERNOON, AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND A LEE
SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS TO OUR WEST. WITH SUNNY SKIES, TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL REBOUND TO THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 FOR HIGHS ACROSS
MOST OF OUR AREA. SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT, AND THIS WILL
HELP TO LIMIT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S FOR
MUCH OF OUR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES, AND MID TO UPPER 50S
IN THE BIG COUNTRY. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN COULD RESULT IN
SOME LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT OVER THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY SUNRISE.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1248 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
DRY AND WARM THIS WEEK, BUT WITH COOLING TREND FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND. TUESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH UPPER RIDGING ALOFT AND A
SURFACE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH, BRINGING DOWNSLOPE BREEZY SOUTHWEST
WINDS TO THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY. THE FORECAST HIGH OF 85
FOR ABILENE WOULD TIE THE RECORD HIGH FOR FEBRUARY 17 SET BACK IN
1897. MINIMUM RH VALUES FALL 20 PERCENT ALONG A STERLING CITY TO
SWEETWATER TO HASKELL LINE, BRINGING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IN THAT
REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S, BUT COOL SLIGHTLY
INTO THE LOWER 70S TO UPPER 70S FRIDAY AS A WEAK FRONT TRIES TO MOVE
IN. A SECOND WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES IN SATURDAY, WITH A STRONGER COLD
FRONT SUNDAY. HIGHS THE LOWER TO MID 60S EXPECTED SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1005 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS TAF FORECAST PACKAGE.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY BY MONDAY
MORNING, AND INCREASE INTO THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE BY LATE
MORNING. A FEW GUSTS WILL IMPACT THE KABI AREA THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS BY
00Z TOMORROW EVENING WHILE SHIFTING SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHEAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 79 57 84 51 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 79 53 84 49 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 80 49 84 50 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 78 49 86 51 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 79 57 84 51 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 77 50 82 49 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 77 52 84 53 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...20
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