196
FXUS64 KSJT 171129
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
529 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA.
- COOLING TREND FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 324 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
EARLY THIS MORNING, TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND
60, WHICH IS QUITE MILD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WINDS WERE FROM THE
SOUTH AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 25. AT THE UPPER-LEVELS
A TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN US WAS RESULTING IN SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
WEST TEXAS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND
SHOULD PUSH EASTWARD TODAY. AS A RESULT, SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND SOME LOCATIONS COULD REACH OVER 20
MPH SUSTAINED. A WARM AIRMASS, COMBINED WITH SOME SLIGHT
DOWNSLOPING, SHOULD HELP TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO NEAR-RECORD
LEVELS TODAY. FORECAST HIGHS ARE IN THE MID 80S, WITH RECORDS OF
85 AT ABILENE AND 88 AT SAN ANGELO. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
SHOULD DEVELOP FROM THE PARENT LOW AND MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING, WHICH WILL SHIFT WINDS OUT OF THE WEST
OVERNIGHT BUT SHOULD DECREASE TO AROUND 5 MPH. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR
OUT OVERNIGHT AND ALLOW LOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO AROUND 50
DEGREES.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1256 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
ANOTHER SURFACE LOW WILL BE DEVELOPING OVER EASTERN COLORADO
WEDNESDAY, MOVING EAST INTO KANSAS AND MISSOURI THURSDAY. WHILE THE
SURFACE LOW IS QUITE A BIT NORTH OF THE REGION, IT WILL STILL
GIVE SOME GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS, MAINLY OVER THE BIG COUNTRY ON
WEDNESDAY, AND LIGHTER WEST WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. CONTINUED
WARM TEMPERATURES EXPECTED IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S
WEDNESDAY, AND LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD A STRONGER COLD FRONT DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY. PREVIOUS MODELS HAD A GLANCING BLOW, WITH MOST OF THE PUSH
OF COLD AIR TO THE EAST. HOWEVER, THE MODELS AREA TRENDING MORE OF A
SOUTHERLY PUSH, WITH MORE COLD ADVECTION. THIS BRINGS HIGHS MAINLY
IN THE 60S SATURDAY INTO MONDAY. MORNING LOWS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
MORNINGS ARE NOW EXPECTED IN THE MID 30S, AND A FEW AREAS COULD
POSSIBLY HIT THE FREEZING MARK, ESPECIALLY MONDAY MORNING IF WINDS
GO LIGHT.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 529 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH
GUSTS OVER 25 MPH POSSIBLE BETWEEN 18-00Z, DIMINISHING THEREAFTER.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 84 51 78 52 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 85 49 80 48 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 84 49 83 51 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 85 50 80 51 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 84 51 76 52 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 83 49 79 48 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 84 53 80 55 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...SK
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page