620
FXUS64 KSJT 181131
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
531 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.
- COOLING TREND FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 258 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
HIGH CLOUDS WERE GRADUALLY CLEARING OUT THIS MORNING AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT WAS PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S WITH GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. BEHIND THE FRONT,
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD IN THIS MORNING AND ALLOW WINDS TO
BE FAIRLY LIGHT UNTIL ABOUT NOONTIME. A NEW AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
HELP TO SHIFT WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH.
DUE TO THE PACIFIC AIRMASS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S WHICH IS A BIT COOLER THAN YESTERDAY BUT IS
STILL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A DRYLINE WILL ALSO MIX
EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME WESTWARD RETREAT THIS
EVENING. SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR AND WITH LIGHT WINDS THE
LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL TO THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
DEGREES.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 258 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
OUR LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES
ALOFT MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
SWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA ON SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD
LEAVE MUCH COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 60S FOR MUCH OF
OUR AREA. THIS WOULD BE A PRETTY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM THE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE SUBSEQUENTLY STARTS TO REBUILD BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL, THEREFORE, START ON A WARMING TREND WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 531 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
SOME PATCHY MVFR CEILINGS SHOULD BURN OFF BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL INCREASE FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS
OVER 20KT AT TIMES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 78 52 74 44 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 79 49 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 82 51 81 47 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 80 49 77 42 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 76 52 71 45 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 78 49 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 78 54 77 48 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...SK
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