566
FXUS64 KSJT 181907
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
107 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.
- A LITTLE COOLER THIS WEEKEND, WITH MORNING LOWS DROPPING TO NEAR
FREEZING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 258 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
HIGH CLOUDS WERE GRADUALLY CLEARING OUT THIS MORNING AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT WAS PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S WITH GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. BEHIND THE FRONT,
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD IN THIS MORNING AND ALLOW WINDS TO
BE FAIRLY LIGHT UNTIL ABOUT NOONTIME. A NEW AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
HELP TO SHIFT WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH.
DUE TO THE PACIFIC AIRMASS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S WHICH IS A BIT COOLER THAN YESTERDAY BUT IS
STILL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A DRYLINE WILL ALSO MIX
EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME WESTWARD RETREAT THIS
EVENING. SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR AND WITH LIGHT WINDS THE
LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL TO THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
DEGREES.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS
WEEKEND, ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO DROP SOUTH THROUGH WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. LATEST NAM SHOWS
THE FRONT STALLING VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE BIG
COUNTRY BEFORE MAX HEATING, LEAVING IT WARM FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
NAM USUALLY DOES WELL ON THESE SHALLOW AIR MASSES SO WILL GO WITH
THIS IDEA FOR NOW. IF THE FRONT DOES MAKE IT FARTHER SOUTH HOWEVER,
WILL DROP READINGS A LITTLE MORE.
WEEKEND WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHS IN 60S AND 70S FOR SATURDAY,
AND CONTINUED COLD ADVECTION FOR SUNDAY PUSHING HIGHS DOWN INTO
THE LOW TO MID 60S. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE COLD ADVECTION, EVEN
THESE TEMPERATURES MAY BE A LITTLE TOO WARM AND WOULD NOT
SURPRISE ME IF TEMPERATURES COME DOWN A FEW MORE DEGREES AS WE
GET CLOSER TO THE WEEKEND.
WITH DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH THE SURFACE HIGH BUILDING IN,
MODEL BLENDS ARE SHOWING OVERNIGHT LOWS DOWN NEAR FREEZING IN MANY
LOCATIONS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS. AS MENTIONED BEFORE,
TEMPERATURES ON THESE NIGHTS CAN VARY A LOT FROM NEARLY CALM WINDS
TO WIND SPEEDS OF ONLY 3 OR 4 MPH, SO SOME LOCATIONS THAT HAPPEN
TO SEE A PERIOD OF CALM WINDS MAY WELL DROP INTO THE 20S.
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS IS INFLUENCED MORE BY A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PARKED OVER WESTERN MEXICO FOR NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING BACK INTO THE 80S BY MID WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1131 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS
THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT KABI WILL SEE SOME GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BY EARLY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 53 74 46 78 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 49 78 44 80 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 52 81 47 84 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 48 77 43 79 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 52 71 46 77 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 48 77 46 80 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 55 77 49 80 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...24
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