030
FXUS64 KSJT 190700
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
100 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.
- A LITTLE COOLER THIS WEEKEND, WITH MORNING LOWS DROPPING TO NEAR
FREEZING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 144 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THURSDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSISTING. A SHORTWAVE AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS KANSAS TONIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY, WITH SURFACE WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST AND NORTHWEST,
BUT REMAINING LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE MAIN CONCERN ON
THURSDAY WILL BE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING BY
AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY,
WHERE AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER
TEENS, WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 20 MPH POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
MILD AGAIN TONIGHT, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S.
HIGHS TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE 70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026
OUR LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES
ALOFT MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
SWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA ON SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD
LEAVE MUCH COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 60S FOR MUCH OF
OUR AREA. THIS WOULD BE A PRETTY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM THE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE SUBSEQUENTLY STARTS TO REBUILD BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL, THEREFORE, START ON A WARMING TREND WITH
HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 80S BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS, WITH GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT GRADUALLY
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS LATE THURSDAY MORNING WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 8 TO 12 KTS
INTO THE AFTERNOON, BEFORE DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. KABI, KSJT,
AND KBBD CAN SEE A FEW GUSTS UP TO 22 KTS DURING THE LATE MORNING
TO AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 73 45 77 43 / 0 0 10 0
SAN ANGELO 77 45 80 43 / 0 0 10 0
JUNCTION 81 46 83 46 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 77 42 75 43 / 0 0 10 0
SWEETWATER 71 45 77 43 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 77 47 80 46 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 77 48 77 48 / 0 0 10 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...TP
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