311
FXUS64 KSJT 191120
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
520 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA.
- A LITTLE COOLER THIS WEEKEND, WITH MORNING LOWS DROPPING TO NEAR
FREEZING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 258 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026
EARLY THIS MORNING, SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS EXCEPT FOR SOME HIGH CLOUDS OVER OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS
GENERALLY AROUND 5 MPH. A COLD FRONT, DRIVEN BY A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER KANSAS, WAS LOCATED FROM THE PANHANDLE SOUTHWESTWARD
INTO FAR WEST TEXAS. THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD
TODAY AND PUSH INTO THE HILL COUNTRY BY NOONTIME. WINDS WILL TURN
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH. NOT
MUCH CHANGE IN AIRMASS IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT, SO HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
SHOULD DECREASE THIS EVENING AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS THE
PARENT LOW SHIFTS EASTWARD TO MISSOURI. ANOTHER COLD FRONT, FROM THE
NORTH THIS TIME, IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE BIG COUNTRY LATE
TONIGHT. THIS, COMBINED WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, SHOULD RESULT IN
LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S OVERNIGHT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026
OUR LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES
ALOFT MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
SWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA ON SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD
LEAVE MUCH COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 60S FOR MUCH OF
OUR AREA. THIS WOULD BE A PRETTY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM THE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE SUBSEQUENTLY STARTS TO REBUILD BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL, THEREFORE, START ON A WARMING TREND WITH
HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 80S BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 520 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE
NORTHEAST BY LATE MORNING AND INCREASE TO 10-15KT WITH SOME GUSTS
AROUND 20. WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING BETWEEN
22-00Z. OTHERWISE, VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 73 45 77 43 / 0 0 10 0
SAN ANGELO 77 45 80 43 / 0 0 10 0
JUNCTION 81 46 83 46 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 77 42 75 43 / 0 0 10 0
SWEETWATER 71 45 77 43 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 77 47 80 46 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 77 48 77 48 / 0 0 10 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...TP
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