903
FXUS64 KSJT 200641
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1241 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
- A LITTLE COOLER THIS WEEKEND, WITH MORNING LOWS DROPPING TO NEAR
FREEZING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
- HIGHS WILL APPROACH RECORD TEMPERATURES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR THE 90 DEGREE MARK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1257 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING, BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE
COOLER ACROSS OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. WINDS WILL DECREASE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND BECOME LIGHT THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF THE WESTERN CONUS, THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. WITH THIS UPPER LEVEL PATTERN, A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PART OF LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT. ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
THE NORTHERN HEARTLAND AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE STALLING.
THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD ESSENTIALLY WASH OUT AS WINDS BECOME
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH (IN OUR NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES) FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH, EMBEDDED WITHIN THE AFOREMENTIONED
LARGE TROUGH, WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES
ON FRIDAY. WITH THIS SETUP, A PACIFIC FRONT/DRYLINE WILL ADVANCE
EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF OUR AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE END
RESULT OF ALL THIS WILL BE COMPARATIVELY COOLER (ALBEIT MODERATING)
TEMPERATURES FOR OUR NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES, WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES. GOING
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S IN SOME OF OUR
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES, TO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S IN OUR
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
PATCHY CLOUD COVER IS ANTICIPATED OVER OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ON
FRIDAY, WHILE SKIES WILL BE SUNNY ELSEWHERE.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
OUR LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES
ALOFT MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS THROUGH SATURDAY.
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO SWING A COLD
FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA ON SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD LEAVE MUCH
COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 60S FOR MUCH OF OUR AREA.
THIS WOULD BE A PRETTY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE SUBSEQUENTLY STARTS TO REBUILD BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL, THEREFORE, START ON A WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS
IN THE MIDDLE 80S TO NEAR 90 BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PATCHY MVFR CEILINGS FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE KSOA AND KJCT TERMINALS. GENERALLY WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH KABI, KSJT AND KBBD
BEING THE EXCEPTION WITH EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS FROM 10 TO 12
KTS DURING THE MID MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 70 42 59 31 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 76 42 66 29 / 10 0 0 0
JUNCTION 78 45 72 30 / 10 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 69 42 65 29 / 10 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 73 43 58 32 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 78 45 68 31 / 10 0 0 0
BRADY 70 46 67 32 / 10 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...TP
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