168
FXUS64 KSJT 210535
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1135 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON, AND SATURDAY.
- A LITTLE COOLER THIS WEEKEND, WITH MORNING LOWS DROPPING TO NEAR
FREEZING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
- HIGHS WILL APPROACH RECORD TEMPERATURES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR THE 90 DEGREE MARK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 131 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST THIS EVENING. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
WILL THEN BE DEVELOPING IN WEST TEXAS THIS EVENING AND MOVING
THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE TONIGHT, SHIFTING WINDS NORTHWEST
5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. LOWS ARE
EXPECTED MAINLY IN THE LOWER 40S, BUT PROTECTED AREAS MAY FALL
INTO THE UPPER 30S.
A STRONG COLD FRONT THEN MOVES THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS MID
MORNING SATURDAY, BRINGING BREEZY NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP
TO 35 MPH EXPECTED IN THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AFTERNOON RANGE FROM MID 50S IN THE BIG COUNTRY
TO UPPER 60S ALONG I-10.
THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN SATURDAY WILL BE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS, AS DRY AIR BEHIND THE FRONT BRINGS MINIMUM RH VALUES
FROM THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF
13-20 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED FROM STERLING CITY TO SAN ANGELO TO BRADY
AND MASON AND SOUTHWARD, AND ARE IN THE MORE CRITICAL AREA. A
RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED SATURDAY FOR
MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1131 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO REBUILD BY LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL, THEREFORE, START ON A WARMING TREND WITH
HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 80S TO NEAR 90 BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
THEN, ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND
SWINGS A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS WILL AFFECT
OUR AREA ON THURSDAY BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
PICTURE FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1050 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS GOING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL BE VARIABLE
AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS. A SHIFT TO NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS AT 6-8
KNOTS IS ANTICIPATED IN THE 08Z-11Z TIME FRAME. INCREASED AND
GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM MID/LATE MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS 25-28 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. NORTH WINDS WILL
DECREASE TO 8-10 KNOTS BETWEEN 01Z AND 04Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 63 43 57 30 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 70 43 63 29 / 10 0 0 0
JUNCTION 71 45 69 29 / 10 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 65 41 61 28 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 66 43 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 76 45 65 30 / 10 0 0 0
BRADY 67 45 63 31 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...19
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