425
FXUS64 KSJT 221720
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1120 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- EXPECT NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND THURSDAY
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL
DAILY HIGHS TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WARMEST DAY ON WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
QUIET WEATHER WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT AND TO START THE WORK WEEK. LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
WILL BUILD TO OUR WEST, WITH SCATTERED MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS
CONTINUING TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. LOWS TONIGHT WILL DROP TO
AROUND FREEZING AGAIN, WITH HIGHS TOMORROW IN THE MID/UPPER 60S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WELL-
ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER
PORTIONS OF MEXICO AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, AND OUR AREA WILL BE
UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AFTER A COLD START TO THE DAY,
TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR HIGHS WITH
SUNNY SKIES AND A SOUTH BREEZE. GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY, AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS INTO THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. HIGHS TUESDAY
WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S FOR OUR SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
COUNTIES, WITH MID TO UPPER 70S FARTHER NORTH. SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE VEERING TO THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY. WITH A DOWNSLOPING WIND COMPONENT, LOW-LEVEL THERMAL
RIDGING AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY
THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR A
GOOD PORTION OF OUR AREA. AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS
PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING, WITH BREEZY NORTH WINDS FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE.
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL BE COOLER BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S. RADIATIONAL COOLING THURSDAY NIGHT
COULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 30S FOR LOWS ACROSS SOME
OF THE AREA, AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS TRAVERSES THE
AREA. SOUTH WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES TO RETURN FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH ONLY A FEW MID AND
UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST BY LATE MONDAY
MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 33 64 43 77 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 30 66 40 76 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 29 66 36 74 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 29 64 36 76 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 34 63 43 78 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 32 62 38 72 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 32 62 39 73 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...20
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