375
FXUS64 KSJT 111740
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1240 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM NOON TO 6 PM FOR THE BIG
COUNTRY, WHERE STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL FOLLOW A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE.
- THURSDAY MORNING LOWS WILL BE COLD, IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
- MUCH WARMER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1141 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
UPDATED TO ADD AREAS OF DUST TO CROCKETT COUNTY AND PATCHY BLOWING
DUST OVER WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 202 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
A LINGERING AREA OF SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IS OVER THE FAR
EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF OUR AREA (EAST OF A CROSS PLAINS
TO ROOSEVELT LINE) AT 145 AM. THIS IS IN AN AREA OF ASCENT,
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE TO THE BIG BEND REGION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION WILL
SHIFT EAST OF OUR AREA DURING THE MORNING AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES
EAST ACROSS OUR AREA. INDICATIONS ARE FOR A CLOSED LOW TO DEVELOP
WITHIN THE TROUGH AS IT TRAVERSES OUR AREA. THE UPPER LOW AND TROUGH
WILL MOVE OVER FAR EAST TEXAS BY THIS EVENING.
MEANWHILE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST TODAY, AND ASSOCIATED STRONGER COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL
FOLLOW THIS COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY (25-35 MPH
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AT OR ABOVE 40 MPH). THUS, WE ARE ISSUING A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE BIG COUNTRY (COUNTIES ALONG/NORTH OF I-20)
WHICH WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY FROM NOON TO 6 PM. SUNNY TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH SOME PATCHY CLOUD COVER
SHIFTING SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. AFTER THE VERY
WARM TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY, TODAY WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MUCH
COOLER WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S/NEAR 70
NORTH, TO THE MID/UPPER 70S IN OUR FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES SOUTH INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND NORTHWEST TEXAS. WITH
CLEAR SKIES, TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLDER TONIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
MOSTLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 128 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH
INCREASED/BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND 850MB THERMAL
RIDING IN THE AREA. HIGHS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 90 DEGREES ON
SATURDAY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN INTO THE MIDWEST ON SUNDAY,
WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA. EXPECT
WINDY CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY WITH GUSTY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS
FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. COLDER LOWS MONDAY AND TUESDAY
MORNINGS AND WILL BE MONITORING FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A BRIEF LIGHT
FREEZE, PARTICULARLY IN LOW-LYING AREAS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KTS AT
KABI AND 30 TO 35 KTS FARTHER SOUTH. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY
THIS EVENING, THEN LOSE THERE GUSTY CHARACTER FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK SOUTH TOWARD NOON THURSDAY. VFR
CONDITIONS OTHERWISE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 65 38 66 49 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 70 37 68 46 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 72 36 66 40 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 69 36 66 40 / 10 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 65 38 68 51 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 69 38 68 42 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 69 37 63 43 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-
COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-JONES-
MCCULLOCH-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-TAYLOR-
THROCKMORTON-TOM GREEN.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...04
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