402
FXUS64 KSJT 111832
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
132 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM NOON TO 6 PM FOR THE BIG
COUNTRY, CONCHO VALLEY, HEARTLAND AND CROCKETT COUNTY WHERE
STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL FOLLOW A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
- THURSDAY MORNING LOWS WILL BE COLD, IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
- MUCH WARMER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS.
- MUCH COLDER WITH A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (15%-40%) OF A HARD
FREEZE WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE 20S BY TUESDAY
MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 117 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH A WIND
ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG COUNTRY, CONCHO VALLEY, HEARTLAND
AND CROCKETT COUNTY. RBG DUST IMAGERY INDICATED A BAND OF DUST
MOVING THROUGH CROCKETT AND WESTERN SUTTON COUNTY.
WINDS WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING. WHILE THE WIND ADVISORY GOES
TO 6 PM, BUT WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
HIT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR A HOUR OR TWO LONGER. WINDS WILL REMAIN
GUSTY THIS EVENING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT TOWARDS MORNING. LOWS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S. WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED TO
SEE ONE OR TWO PLACES BRIEFLY HIT THE FREEZING MARK (STERLING CITY
HAS THAT TENDENCY)...ESPECIALLY AS THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN THURSDAY MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS
OTHERWISE RETURN MIDDAY THURSDAY, WITH COOLER HIGHS IN THE MID AND
UPPER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
A DRY PATTERN RETURNS TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THE NEXT WEEK, AS
A GENERALLY WEST TO NORTHWEST ZONAL FLOW PREVAILS ALOFT. AFTER THE
FRONT TODAY BRINGS COOLER CONDITIONS, A WARMING TREND WILL KICK
BACK IN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS REBOUNDING BACK
UP TO NEAR THE 90 DEGREE MARK FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE PASSING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY WILL
ALLOW ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO DROP THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL AGAIN BRING COOLER HIGHS,
BUT ALSO COLDER EARLY MORNING LOWS AS A DRY AIR MASS ALLOWS GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING. LOWS FROM THE MODEL BLENDS ARE DOWN IN THE
LOW TO MID 30S FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS, AND AS MENTIONED
BEFORE, THESE WONT PROBABLY BE COLD ENOUGH IF ONE OF THE NIGHTS
SETS UP PERFECTLY. COULD EASILY SEE A LIGHT FREEZE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE AREA AND A MORE SIGNIFICANT FREEZE WITH LOWS IN THE 20S IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KTS AT
KABI AND 30 TO 35 KTS FARTHER SOUTH. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY
THIS EVENING, THEN LOSE THERE GUSTY CHARACTER FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK SOUTH TOWARD NOON THURSDAY. VFR
CONDITIONS OTHERWISE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 38 66 49 85 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 37 68 46 86 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 36 66 40 80 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 36 66 40 82 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 38 68 51 86 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 38 68 42 83 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 37 63 43 79 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-
COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-JONES-
MCCULLOCH-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-TAYLOR-
THROCKMORTON-TOM GREEN.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...04
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