520
FXUS64 KSJT 120550
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1250 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM NOON TO 6 PM FOR THE BIG
COUNTRY, CONCHO VALLEY, HEARTLAND AND CROCKETT COUNTY WHERE
STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL FOLLOW A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
- THURSDAY MORNING LOWS WILL BE COLD, IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
- MUCH WARMER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS.
- MUCH COLDER WITH A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (15%-40%) OF A HARD
FREEZE WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE 20S BY TUESDAY
MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 117 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH A WIND
ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG COUNTRY, CONCHO VALLEY, HEARTLAND
AND CROCKETT COUNTY. RBG DUST IMAGERY INDICATED A BAND OF DUST
MOVING THROUGH CROCKETT AND WESTERN SUTTON COUNTY.
WINDS WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING. WHILE THE WIND ADVISORY GOES
TO 6 PM, BUT WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
HIT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR A HOUR OR TWO LONGER. WINDS WILL REMAIN
GUSTY THIS EVENING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT TOWARDS MORNING. LOWS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S. WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED TO
SEE ONE OR TWO PLACES BRIEFLY HIT THE FREEZING MARK (STERLING CITY
HAS THAT TENDENCY)...ESPECIALLY AS THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN THURSDAY MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS
OTHERWISE RETURN MIDDAY THURSDAY, WITH COOLER HIGHS IN THE MID AND
UPPER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
A DRY PATTERN RETURNS TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THE NEXT WEEK, AS
A GENERALLY WEST TO NORTHWEST ZONAL FLOW PREVAILS ALOFT. AFTER THE
FRONT TODAY BRINGS COOLER CONDITIONS, A WARMING TREND WILL KICK
BACK IN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS REBOUNDING BACK
UP TO NEAR THE 90 DEGREE MARK FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE PASSING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY WILL
ALLOW ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO DROP THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL AGAIN BRING COOLER HIGHS,
BUT ALSO COLDER EARLY MORNING LOWS AS A DRY AIR MASS ALLOWS GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING. LOWS FROM THE MODEL BLENDS ARE DOWN IN THE
LOW TO MID 30S FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS, AND AS MENTIONED
BEFORE, THESE WONT PROBABLY BE COLD ENOUGH IF ONE OF THE NIGHTS
SETS UP PERFECTLY. COULD EASILY SEE A LIGHT FREEZE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE AREA AND A MORE SIGNIFICANT FREEZE WITH LOWS IN THE 20S IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT. DURING
THE DAY THURSDAY, LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT AND THE HIGHER WIND
SPEEDS (10-15 KNOTS) WILL BE AT KABI.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 67 49 86 53 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 69 46 86 53 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 67 40 82 48 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 66 41 82 48 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 69 51 86 53 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 68 42 83 49 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 63 44 80 51 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...19
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page