036
FXUS64 KSJT 121725
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1225 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH WARMER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS. SOME LOCATIONS MAY REACH 90 DEGREES ON SATURDAY.
- STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY NORTH
WINDS FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE.
- COLD EARLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS. MONITORING FOR A
POTENTIAL FREEZE, AND POTENTIAL FOR WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S ON
MONDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 134 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
BEGINNING A SET OF DAYS WHERE OUR AREA WILL BE UNDER DRY NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT. SKIES WILL BE SUNNY TODAY AND CLEAR TONIGHT. AT THE
SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE INITIALLY CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL
MOVE TO THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER BY THIS EVENING, AND ACROSS THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL
BECOME SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. AFTER A CHILLY START
TO THE DAY, HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S IN
OUR EAST-CENTRAL (HEARTLAND) AND SOUTHEASTERN (NORTHWEST HILL
COUNTRY) COUNTIES, AND MID 60S TO NEAR 70 ACROSS THE REST OF THE
AREA. SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND WILL BE A LITTLE BREEZY
ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY. LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 40S FOR OUR
SOUTHERN COUNTIES INTO THE HEARTLAND AREA, WHERE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE
LOW ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING. A FEW UPPER 30S
ARE POSSIBLE IN FAVORED LOW-LYING AREAS. EXPECT LOWS TO BE MOSTLY IN
THE MID 40S IN THE CONCHO VALLEY, AND UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS
THE BIG COUNTRY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
A ROLLER COASTER-LIKE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PLAY OUT FOR THIS
WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE WARMING TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AS SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW BUILDS BACK IN ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS SHOULD PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE
UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S FOR SATURDAY, WHICH COULD BREAK OR TIE RECORDS
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PUSH
A STRONG COLD FRONT QUICKLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH TEXAS ON SUNDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES COULD STILL REACH THE 80S, BUT WILL LIKELY OCCUR BY
LATE MORNING OR NOONTIME BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES. BEHIND THE
FRONT, WINDS LOOK TO BE STRONG AS A 1030MB HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. AT THIS TIME, THERE IS A MEDIUM TO
HIGH CHANCE FOR WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40.
CONDITIONS LOOK SIMILAR TO WHAT OCCURRED ON WEDNESDAY SO A WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN FOR SUNDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED 1030MB
HIGH WILL MOVE INTO WEST TEXAS ON MONDAY MORNING. A MUCH COLDER
AIRMASS WILL BE ADVECTED IN AND LOWS MONDAY MORNING SHOULD EASILY
FALL TO AROUND FREEZING. IN ADDITION, WINDS OF 10-15 MPH COULD
RESULT IN WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S. HIGHS THAT DAY SHOULD STRUGGLE TO
REACH THE 50S. AFTER ANOTHER COLD START TO TUESDAY MORNING THE
PATTERN SHOULD START TO SHIFT AGAIN. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OF
A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
BY WEDNESDAY. THIS, COMBINED WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE
SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S AND 80S FOR THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. DURING THE DAY TODAY, LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH BY
MID-TO-LATE AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND THE
HIGHER WIND SPEEDS (10-15 KNOTS) WILL BE AT KABI. WINDS WILL VEER
A BIT TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST LATE TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 50 85 53 89 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 44 86 53 90 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 40 82 48 86 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 41 82 47 86 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 51 86 54 90 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 43 83 49 88 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 45 80 51 85 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...19
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