065
FXUS64 KSJT 121808
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
108 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH WARMER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS. SOME LOCATIONS MAY REACH 90 DEGREES ON SATURDAY.
- STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY NORTH
WINDS FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE.
- COLD EARLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS. MONITORING FOR A
POTENTIAL FREEZE, AND POTENTIAL FOR WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S ON
MONDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 106 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WHICH SETTLED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
MORNING WILL PUSH EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHT WINDS AND
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 40S, ALTHOUGH A FEW
LOCATIONS COULD DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S. FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH, WITH
LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20
MPH, WITH HIGHER GUSTS, BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS OUR WESTERN AND NORTHERN COUNTIES, WITH LOW
80S ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
A ROLLER COASTER-LIKE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PLAY OUT FOR THIS
WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE WARMING TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AS SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW BUILDS BACK IN ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS SHOULD PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE
UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S FOR SATURDAY, WHICH COULD BREAK OR TIE RECORDS
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PUSH
A STRONG COLD FRONT QUICKLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH TEXAS ON SUNDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES COULD STILL REACH THE 80S, BUT WILL LIKELY OCCUR BY
LATE MORNING OR NOONTIME BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES. BEHIND THE
FRONT, WINDS LOOK TO BE STRONG AS A 1030MB HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. AT THIS TIME, THERE IS A MEDIUM TO
HIGH CHANCE FOR WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40.
CONDITIONS LOOK SIMILAR TO WHAT OCCURRED ON WEDNESDAY SO A WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN FOR SUNDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED 1030MB
HIGH WILL MOVE INTO WEST TEXAS ON MONDAY MORNING. A MUCH COLDER
AIRMASS WILL BE ADVECTED IN AND LOWS MONDAY MORNING SHOULD EASILY
FALL TO AROUND FREEZING. IN ADDITION, WINDS OF 10-15 MPH COULD
RESULT IN WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S. HIGHS THAT DAY SHOULD STRUGGLE TO
REACH THE 50S. AFTER ANOTHER COLD START TO TUESDAY MORNING THE
PATTERN SHOULD START TO SHIFT AGAIN. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OF
A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
BY WEDNESDAY. THIS, COMBINED WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE
SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S AND 80S FOR THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH WINDS
OF 6 TO 12 KNOTS TODAY WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT,
EXCEPT AT KABI WHERE WINDS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 12 AND 16 KNOTS.
EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 12 TO 16 KNOTS BY LATE
MORNING FRIDAY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 50 85 53 89 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 44 86 53 90 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 40 82 48 86 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 41 82 47 86 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 51 86 54 90 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 43 83 49 88 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 45 80 51 85 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...DANIELS
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