500
FXUS64 KSJT 130514
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1214 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH WARMER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS. SOME LOCATIONS MAY REACH 90 DEGREES ON SATURDAY.
- STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY NORTH
WINDS FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE.
- COLD EARLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS. MONITORING FOR A
POTENTIAL FREEZE, AND POTENTIAL FOR WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S ON
MONDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 106 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WHICH SETTLED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS MORNING WILL PUSH EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHT
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 40S, ALTHOUGH
A FEW LOCATIONS COULD DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S. FARTHER NORTH
ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE 10 TO
20 MPH, WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO 10 TO 20 MPH, WITH HIGHER GUSTS, BY LATE MORNING FRIDAY. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS OUR WESTERN AND NORTHERN
COUNTIES, WITH LOW 80S ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
A ROLLER COASTER-LIKE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PLAY OUT FOR THIS
WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE WARMING TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AS SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW BUILDS BACK IN
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS SHOULD PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO
THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S FOR SATURDAY, WHICH COULD BREAK OR TIE
RECORDS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL PUSH A STRONG COLD FRONT QUICKLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH TEXAS
ON SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD STILL REACH THE 80S, BUT WILL
LIKELY OCCUR BY LATE MORNING OR NOONTIME BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES.
BEHIND THE FRONT, WINDS LOOK TO BE STRONG AS A 1030MB HIGH OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. AT THIS TIME, THERE IS A
MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE FOR WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS OVER 40. CONDITIONS LOOK SIMILAR TO WHAT OCCURRED ON
WEDNESDAY SO A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN FOR SUNDAY. THE
AFOREMENTIONED 1030MB HIGH WILL MOVE INTO WEST TEXAS ON MONDAY
MORNING. A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WILL BE ADVECTED IN AND LOWS MONDAY
MORNING SHOULD EASILY FALL TO AROUND FREEZING. IN ADDITION, WINDS
OF 10-15 MPH COULD RESULT IN WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S. HIGHS THAT
DAY SHOULD STRUGGLE TO REACH THE 50S. AFTER ANOTHER COLD START TO
TUESDAY MORNING THE PATTERN SHOULD START TO SHIFT AGAIN. MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OF A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY. THIS, COMBINED WITH
SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
BACK INTO THE 70S AND 80S FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
EXPECT SOME MINOR GUSTINESS IN THE WIND FIELD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 85 54 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 87 54 90 61 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 83 48 88 57 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 83 48 87 60 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 85 54 91 63 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 85 50 88 56 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 82 51 86 62 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...41
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