894
FXUS64 KSJT 150601
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
101 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THROUGH 9 PM TODAY FOR
ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
- A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TODAY THROUGH 1 AM
MONDAY FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
- COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND
AGAIN ON TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE,
ALONG WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 212 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2026
THE MAIN CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL BE FIRE WEATHER
AND STRONG WINDS FOR TOMORROW. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DROP
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THIS EVENING AND ACROSS
THE PLAINS BY EARLY TOMORROW. AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL BARREL SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW, WITH STRONG NORTH
WINDS DEVELOPING. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
TOMORROW MORNING, FOLLOWED BY STRONG NORTH WINDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 35
MPH, WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY IS NOW
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FROM 11 AM SUNDAY, UNTIL
1 AM MONDAY. THE FRONT WILL ALSO USHER IN MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO TOMORROW NIGHT. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL RANGE
FROM THE 70S ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY, TO THE MID AND UPPER 80S
OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
INTO THE 50S ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND INTO THE 60S AND 70S OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS BY LATE AFTERNOON.
IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS TOMORROW. A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SEE THE
FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL ON MONDAY BEHIND THE
STRONG COLD FRONT. HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 50S WITH CONTINUED
COLD AIR ADVECTION IN PLACE. LOWS ON MONDAY NIGHT MAY DIP DOWN TO
NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING, WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S. BEYOND MONDAY
WE'LL START A WARMING TREND FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WILL EXPAND EASTWARD
INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS
WILL WARM BACK UP INTO THE 80S ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH
WIDESPREAD 90S EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. NO PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM AS DRY NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1210 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS LIKELY EARLY THIS MORNING. THEN FOR
LATER TODAY (SUNDAY), WE WILL SEE A STRONG COLD FRONT SHIFT WINDS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE VERY BREEZY AND GUSTY BEHIND THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 81 33 53 35 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 88 33 55 35 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 89 33 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 84 33 53 30 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 81 33 53 37 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 87 34 55 35 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 86 34 51 33 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR
BROWN-CALLAHAN-COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-
JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-
SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM
GREEN.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
BROWN-CALLAHAN-COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-
JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-
SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM
GREEN.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...41
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