054
FXUS64 KSJT 150753
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
253 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THROUGH 9 PM TODAY FOR
ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
- A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TODAY THROUGH 1 AM
MONDAY FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
- COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND
AGAIN ON TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE,
ALONG WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 239 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
A POTENT TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE PLAINS TODAY, WHICH WILL RESULT
IN A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS OUR AREA. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL BRING BREEZY NORTH WINDS IN BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. EXPECT
WINDS TO BE SUSTAINED IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS GETTING
UP TO 55 MPH. GIVEN THE BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA, THE
WIND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT TODAY (SUNDAY)
TILL 1 AM CDT MONDAY. FURTHERMORE, MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FUNNEL IN
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. QUITE A FEW LOCATIONS ARE
LIKELY TO SEE FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT. MOST LOCATIONS WILL
BE SITTING IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL ON MONDAY BEHIND THE
STRONG COLD FRONT. HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 50S WITH CONTINUED
COLD AIR ADVECTION IN PLACE. LOWS ON MONDAY NIGHT MAY DIP DOWN TO
NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING, WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE 20S. BEYOND MONDAY
WE'LL START A WARMING TREND FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WILL EXPAND EASTWARD
INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS
WILL WARM BACK UP INTO THE 80S ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH
WIDESPREAD 90S EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. NO PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM AS DRY NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1210 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS LIKELY EARLY THIS MORNING. THEN FOR
LATER TODAY (SUNDAY), WE WILL SEE A STRONG COLD FRONT SHIFT WINDS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE VERY BREEZY AND GUSTY BEHIND THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 84 33 53 35 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 90 33 55 35 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 92 33 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 86 33 53 30 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 84 33 53 37 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 89 34 55 35 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 88 34 51 33 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR
BROWN-CALLAHAN-COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-
JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-
SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM
GREEN.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
BROWN-CALLAHAN-COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-
JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-
SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM
GREEN.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...41
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