541
FXUS64 KSJT 292322
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
622 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK WITH BREEZY TO WINDY SOUTH WINDS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.
- SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS
NOT EXPECTED BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR A FEW STRONG
STORMS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WITH PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE
UNITED STATE TONIGHT BEFORE A WEAK 500MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES
ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO ON MONDAY. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CWA TONIGHT WITH
STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL TONIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 50S TO
NEAR 60 AND HIGHS ON MONDAY IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
MORE WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY AS THE
UPPER-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN TURNS FROM QUASI-ZONAL TO SOUTHWESTERLY.
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
WHILE A COLD FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND PUSHES
SOUTH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S WHICH
IS WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND A LOW-LEVEL JET WILL SET UP ACROSS MOST OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FAIRLY BREEZY CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON.
A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THIS WEEK. MODELS SHOW TWO FAST-MOVING MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVES THAT
ARE EXPECTED TO TRAVERSE THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
THESE SYSTEMS SHOULD PUSH TWO SEPARATE COLD FRONTS INTO THE REGION
WHICH COULD GENERATE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS
POINT, IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE,
BUT THIS IS SPRING IN WEST TEXAS, SO IT IS BEST TO BE PREPARED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 617 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
MVFR STRATUS RETURNS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
CEILINGS MAY TEMPORARILY FALL TO IFR AT KSOA. 40 KT LOW LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS 4-5Z THIS EVENING, WITH GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING AT KABI
AND KSJT AS IT PARTIALLY MIXES DOWN. STRATUS SCATTERS OUT MID TO
LATE MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 60 87 61 89 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANGELO 59 86 59 89 / 0 0 0 10
JUNCTION 57 86 56 88 / 0 0 0 10
BROWNWOOD 56 85 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 60 87 62 90 / 0 0 0 10
OZONA 58 82 59 85 / 0 0 0 10
BRADY 58 84 58 86 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...61
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...04
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