798
FXUS64 KSJT 300522
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1222 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.
- SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES NEXT
WEEKEND. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WITH PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE
UNITED STATE TONIGHT BEFORE A WEAK 500MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES
ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO ON MONDAY. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CWA TONIGHT WITH
STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL TONIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 50S TO
NEAR 60 AND HIGHS ON MONDAY IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
MORE WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY AS THE
UPPER-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN TURNS FROM QUASI-ZONAL TO SOUTHWESTERLY.
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
WHILE A COLD FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND PUSHES
SOUTH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S WHICH
IS WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND A LOW-LEVEL JET WILL SET UP ACROSS MOST OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FAIRLY BREEZY CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON.
A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THIS WEEK. MODELS SHOW TWO FAST-MOVING MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVES THAT
ARE EXPECTED TO TRAVERSE THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
THESE SYSTEMS SHOULD PUSH TWO SEPARATE COLD FRONTS INTO THE REGION
WHICH COULD GENERATE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS
POINT, IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE,
BUT THIS IS SPRING IN WEST TEXAS, SO IT IS BEST TO BE PREPARED.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
LOW LEVEL STRATUS DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED IN THE HILL COUNTRY
OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, WITH MVFR CIGS
SPREADING NORTHWARD AS FAR NORTH AS THE I-20 CORRIDOR. THE LOW
CLOUDS SHOULD BURN OFF BY THE LATE MORNING GIVING WAY TO VFR
CONDITIONS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-25 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING IN THE EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 87 61 88 64 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANGELO 87 59 88 63 / 0 0 0 10
JUNCTION 86 57 87 60 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 85 57 85 62 / 0 0 0 10
SWEETWATER 87 62 89 65 / 0 0 0 10
OZONA 83 58 84 62 / 0 0 10 0
BRADY 84 58 85 62 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...61
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...42
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